Livingston vs Kilmarnock: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced rivalry between two teams in poor form. Livingston has a mere 11% win rate at home and a disastrous streak of 4 defeats in the last 5 matches, conceding an average of over 2 goals per game. Kilmarnock performs equally poorly on the road with 10% wins and identical form (0.2 PPG in the last 5 matches). A key factor favoring a draw is Kilmarnock's high percentage of away draws (40%) and the fact that both teams possess similar xG metrics and shot conversion rates. Livingston holds a slight advantage due to playing at home (higher possession 46% vs 36%), but the lack of clean sheets and the losing streak significantly undermine their chances of winning. I expect a low-quality match with a low number of goals, where neither team will be able to break the deadlock.
Livingston vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Livingston played against Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Livingston has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Kilmarnock has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Livingston scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.00. Kilmarnock scores 0.90 and allows 1.81. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Livingston's games and 57% of Kilmarnock's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 62%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kilmarnock has the higher season xG average, 1.22 to 1.19 per game. Livingston takes 9.8 shots per game, while Kilmarnock takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Livingston leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Kilmarnock leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Livingston's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Kilmarnock, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced rivalry between two teams in poor form. Livingston has a mere 11% win rate at home and a disastrous streak of 4 defeats in the last 5 matches, conceding an average of over 2 goals per game. Kilmarnock performs equally poorly on the road with 10% wins and identical form (0.2 PPG in the last 5 matches). A key factor favoring a draw is Kilmarnock's high percentage of away draws (40%) and the fact that both teams possess similar xG metrics and shot conversion rates. Livingston holds a slight advantage due to playing at home (higher possession 46% vs 36%), but the lack of clean sheets and the losing streak significantly undermine their chances of winning. I expect a low-quality match with a low number of goals, where neither team will be able to break the deadlock.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Livingston | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Livingston is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Livingston · 0.9 goals / game - Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Livingston · 1.81 goals / game - Kilmarnock
Livingston scores in 65% of games (13 of 20 meczów), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
Kilmarnock scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Livingston keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Livingston
Over / Under - Kilmarnock
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kilmarnock is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Livingston · 1.19 pts / game - Kilmarnock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Livingston - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 5%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kilmarnock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Livingston
Kilmarnock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Livingston | Liga | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 50% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 29% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Livingston's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Kilmarnock. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
The Premiership match finished Livingston 1:1 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
Livingston score 1.00 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 0.90. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Livingston's matches and 57% of Kilmarnock's.
What form are Livingston and Kilmarnock in?
Over the last 5 games Livingston have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Kilmarnock 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Livingston vs Kilmarnock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.