Italy - Serie C Group BStadio Armando PicchiData current as of October 14, 2026

Livorno vs Grosseto: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Livorno vs Grosseto: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Livorno plays Grosseto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: Stadio Armando Picchi.

Recent form

Livorno has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Grosseto has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Livorno scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.11. Grosseto scores 1.89 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Livorno's games and 56% of Grosseto's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 56%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Grosseto has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.48 per game. Livorno takes 12.0 shots per game, while Grosseto takes 16.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Livorno leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Grosseto leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.78 after halftime.

When the teams score

Livorno's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Grosseto, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group B games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.21)
(3.35)
(2.95)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.22Goals scored / game1.89
LivornoGrosseto
1.11Goals allowed / game1
LivornoGrosseto
49%Average possession57%
LivornoGrosseto
4.56Shots on target / game5.67
LivornoGrosseto

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game16.11
LivornoGrosseto
4.56Shots on target5.67
LivornoGrosseto
10.2%Shot conversion11.7%
LivornoGrosseto
49%Possession57%
LivornoGrosseto
1.48xG for1.82
LivornoGrosseto
1.47xG against1.42
LivornoGrosseto

Shooting quality

Livorno: BalancedGrosseto: Dominant
LivornoGrosseto
Accuracy (shots on target)38%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Grosseto is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Livorno · 2 pts / game - Grosseto

Livorno
WDWLD
Season result split
44% W33% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-2
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Grosseto
DWWLW
Season result split
56% W33% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 away
3-1-0
WDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grosseto is 55% better for: goals scored per game.

1.22 goals / game - Livorno · 1.89 goals / game - Grosseto

Grosseto is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.11 goals / game - Livorno · 1 goals / game - Grosseto

Livorno scoring profile: mixed

Livorno scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 games), while Grosseto keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).

Grosseto scoring profile: very strong

Grosseto scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

11Goals scored (season)17
LivornoGrosseto
10Goals conceded (season)9
LivornoGrosseto
2.33Average goals per game2.89
LivornoGrosseto
8Goals scored (last 5)12
LivornoGrosseto
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
LivornoGrosseto

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal89%
LivornoGrosseto
33%2 goals67%
LivornoGrosseto
22%3 goals22%
LivornoGrosseto
0%4 goals11%
LivornoGrosseto

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal56%
LivornoGrosseto
33%2 goals33%
LivornoGrosseto
0%3 goals11%
LivornoGrosseto
0%4 goals0%
LivornoGrosseto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time11%
LivornoGrosseto
0%BTTS in both halves11%
LivornoGrosseto
33%Scored in both halves56%
LivornoGrosseto

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
LivornoGrosseto
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
LivornoGrosseto
80%BTTS - last 560%
LivornoGrosseto

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
LivornoGrosseto
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
LivornoGrosseto
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time22%
LivornoGrosseto

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
LivornoGrosseto
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
LivornoGrosseto
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
LivornoGrosseto

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grosseto is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / game - Livorno · 2.11 pts / game - Grosseto

Livorno - half-time state
33% leading56% draw11% trailing
Grosseto - half-time state
67% leading11% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per game (1st half)2.11
LivornoGrosseto
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.11
LivornoGrosseto
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
LivornoGrosseto
1Average goals (1st half)1.56
LivornoGrosseto
78%Clean sheet before half-time67%
LivornoGrosseto
44%No goal before half-time33%
LivornoGrosseto

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per game (2nd half)1.78
LivornoGrosseto
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
LivornoGrosseto
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
LivornoGrosseto
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.33
LivornoGrosseto
44%Clean sheet after half-time56%
LivornoGrosseto
56%No goal after half-time22%
LivornoGrosseto

Livorno - second-half results

33% W11% D56% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Grosseto - second-half results

44% W44% D11% L
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding84%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 56%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Livorno - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.60
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Grosseto - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.401.60
Goals scored / game1.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game2.21.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Livorno
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
2
4
46-60
0
0
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Grosseto
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.61
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Livorno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Grosseto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
172%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

LivornoLigaGrosseto
Average goals per game▼ 2.332.50▲ 2.89
Both teams scored• 56%57%• 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%44%▲ 56%
Clean sheets▼ 22%26%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▼ 56%70%▲ 89%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%73%▲ 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.10
Away goals / game
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Livorno and Grosseto play?

Livorno face Grosseto on October 16, 2026 in Serie C Group B at Stadio Armando Picchi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Livorno vs Grosseto?

Livorno score 1.22 goals per game on average and Grosseto 1.89. The Serie C Group B average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Livorno's matches and 56% of Grosseto's.

What form are Livorno and Grosseto in?

Over the last 5 games Livorno have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Grosseto 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livorno vs Grosseto?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.