Livorno vs Vis Pesaro: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Livorno presents stable form in home matches with 36% wins and a -1 goal difference, averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per match. Vis Pesaro stands out with an impressive 50% draws in away matches and better possession (52% vs 45%), which evidences a controlled style of play. Both teams have an identical point balance in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG) and similar xG values (Livorno 1.33 vs Vis Pesaro 1.34), which further confirms the even level. Vis Pesaro fails to score away less often (20% FTS) than Livorno at home (27%), but the hosts have a minimal home ground advantage, which slightly increases their chances of victory. Considering all factors, I expect a tight, tactical encounter ending in a split of points.
Livorno vs Vis Pesaro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Livorno played against Vis Pesaro in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Livorno has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Vis Pesaro has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Livorno scores 0.95 goals per game and allows 1.48. Vis Pesaro scores 1.00 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 2.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Livorno's games and 45% of Vis Pesaro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 30%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vis Pesaro has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.34 per game. Livorno takes 10.6 shots per game, while Vis Pesaro takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Livorno leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Vis Pesaro leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Livorno's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Vis Pesaro, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.25 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Livorno presents stable form in home matches with 36% wins and a -1 goal difference, averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per match. Vis Pesaro stands out with an impressive 50% draws in away matches and better possession (52% vs 45%), which evidences a controlled style of play. Both teams have an identical point balance in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG) and similar xG values (Livorno 1.33 vs Vis Pesaro 1.34), which further confirms the even level. Vis Pesaro fails to score away less often (20% FTS) than Livorno at home (27%), but the hosts have a minimal home ground advantage, which slightly increases their chances of victory. Considering all factors, I expect a tight, tactical encounter ending in a split of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Livorno | Vis Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vis Pesaro is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
0.95 goals / game - Livorno · 1 goals / game - Vis Pesaro
Vis Pesaro is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.48 goals / game - Livorno · 0.95 goals / game - Vis Pesaro
Livorno scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 meczów), while Vis Pesaro keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
Vis Pesaro scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Livorno
Over / Under - Vis Pesaro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vis Pesaro is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Livorno · 1.45 pts / game - Vis Pesaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vis Pesaro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 30%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Livorno
Vis Pesaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Livorno | Liga | Vis Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.43 | 2.25 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 48% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 37% | ▼ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 31% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 60% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Livorno's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Vis Pesaro. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Livorno vs Vis Pesaro?
The Serie C Group B match finished Livorno 2:1 Vis Pesaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Livorno vs Vis Pesaro?
Livorno score 0.95 goals per game on average and Vis Pesaro 1.00. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Livorno's matches and 45% of Vis Pesaro's.
What form are Livorno and Vis Pesaro in?
Over the last 5 games Livorno have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vis Pesaro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livorno vs Vis Pesaro?
The statistical background for Livorno vs Vis Pesaro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.