ŁKS Łódź II vs Ząbkovia Ząbki: match statistics

Ząbkovia Ząbki hold a slight edge: they have won 5 of their 10 matches this season, compared with 3 wins from 10 for ŁKS Łódź II. Away from home, the visitors average 1.6 goals from an xG of 1.86, while the hosts score 1.33 goals per home match from an xG of 1.72, suggesting Ząbkovia have slightly greater attacking potential. Finishing is also a key factor: ŁKS have failed to score in 67% of their home matches, while Ząbkovia have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their away games. Recent form favors the hosts—they are unbeaten in 5 matches and have scored 12 goals during that run, while the visitors have won 3 of their last 5. However, both teams concede 2 goals per match at home and away respectively, so the visitors’ advantage is only slight.

BTTS has landed in 80% of ŁKS Łódź II matches and 60% of Ząbkovia’s last five, although Ząbkovia’s season-wide figure is just 20%. Both teams have been scoring freely of late: across their previous five matches, the hosts averaged 2.4 goals and the visitors 2.2. Defensive vulnerabilities further strengthen the case for both sides to score: over the same period, ŁKS conceded an average of 1.6 goals and Ząbkovia 1.8, while their xG was 1.99 and 2.34 respectively. The strongest argument against BTTS is that the visitors failed to score in 40% of their matches, whereas the hosts have scored in every game. Even so, their current scoring form and the fact that both teams have scored in 70% of their league matches tip the prediction towards BTTS - Yes.

ŁKS Łódź II score an average of 2.2 goals per match, while Ząbkovia concede 2.0; the visitors, in turn, score 1.6 goals, with the hosts conceding 1.6. Their attacking potential is backed up by xG figures of 2.43 for ŁKS and 1.86 for Ząbkovia. The teams’ last 5 matches averaged 4.0 goals each, although both went Over 2.5 goals in only 60% of those games. The strongest signal is therefore for Over 1.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 80% of ŁKS matches and 100% of Ząbkovia matches, while higher goal lines are considerably less reliable.

A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Ząbkovia were level at the break in 60% of their matches, compared with 40% for ŁKS Łódź II. The visitors kept a clean sheet before half-time in 80% of their games, making an early home lead difficult to call. After the break, the advantage shifts to ŁKS: they average 1.4 goals in the second half, while Ząbkovia concede an average of 1.6 over the same period. ŁKS’s higher xG (2.43 versus 1.86) and 60% win rate, alongside Ząbkovia’s 60% loss rate, also support a home win. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a home win is the strongest HT/FT scenario, although ŁKS leading at the break remains a realistic possibility.