Llanelli Town vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Llanelli Town played against Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on November 29, 2025. Final score: 0:2.

Recent form

Llanelli Town has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Connah's Quay has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Llanelli Town scores 0.53 goals per game and allows 2.71. Connah's Quay scores 2.00 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 35% of Llanelli Town's games and 53% of Connah's Quay's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 73%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Connah's Quay has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.19 per game. Llanelli Town takes 8.9 shots per game, while Connah's Quay takes 13.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Llanelli Town leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.18 goals per game after halftime. Connah's Quay leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.20 after halftime.

When the teams score

Llanelli Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Connah's Quay, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Welsh Premier League games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

32Possession (%)68
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1Shots14
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1Shots on target4
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0.3xG1.74
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1Corners4
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
22Dangerous attacks79
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
12Fouls10
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
3Cards0
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0.53Goals scored / game2
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
2.71Goals allowed / game1.13
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
40%Average possession59%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
3.71Shots on target / game5.6
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.88Shots per game13.27
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
3.71Shots on target5.6
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
6%Shot conversion15.1%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
40%Possession59%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1.19xG for1.77
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
2.05xG against1.03
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Shooting quality

Llanelli Town: BalancedConnah's Quay: Efficient finishing
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
Accuracy (shots on target)42%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.140.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Connah's Quay is 1200% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / game - Llanelli Town · 2.6 pts / game - Connah's Quay

Llanelli Town
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
12% W12% R76% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-13
0.47 pts / game · goal difference -37
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DWLLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Connah's Quay
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
53% W27% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-3
1.87 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 0.84BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Connah's Quay is 277% better for: goals scored per game.

0.53 goals / game - Llanelli Town · 2 goals / game - Connah's Quay

Connah's Quay is 140% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.71 goals / game - Llanelli Town · 1.13 goals / game - Connah's Quay

Llanelli Town scoring profile: mixed

Llanelli Town scores in 41% of games (7 of 17 meczów), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 meczów).

Connah's Quay scoring profile: very strong

Connah's Quay scores in 87% of games (13 of 15 meczów), while Llanelli Town keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 meczów).

9Goals scored (season)30
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
46Goals conceded (season)17
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
3.24Average goals per game3.13
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
2Goals scored (last 5)16
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
13Goals conceded (last 5)4
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

How often they score at least...

41%1 goal87%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
12%2 goals53%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0%3 goals53%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0%4 goals7%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal60%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
65%2 goals33%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
53%3 goals20%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
35%4 goals0%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time20%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0%Scored in both halves40%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
40%BTTS - last 540%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

94%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time53%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Connah's Quay is 146% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.65 pts / game - Llanelli Town · 1.6 pts / game - Connah's Quay

Llanelli Town - half-time state
18% leading12% draw71% trailing
Connah's Quay - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.65Points per game (1st half)1.6
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1.35Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1.71Average goals (1st half)1.33
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
24%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
71%No goal before half-time47%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

After half-time (2nd half)

0.53Points per game (2nd half)1.8
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
0.18Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1.35Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.8
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
41%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay
88%No goal after half-time27%
Llanelli TownConnah's Quay

Llanelli Town - second-half results

6% W35% R59% P
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-17
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-20
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.65
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 12%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Connah's Quay - second-half results

53% W20% R27% P
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Llanelli Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.20
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game1.21.4
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-4-7
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Connah's Quay - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.602.40
Goals scored / game1.61.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.82.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+7+5
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Llanelli Town
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
3
4
16-30
1
13
31-45
0
5
46-60
0
8
61-75
3
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Connah's Quay
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
2
2
31-45
6
2
46-60
6
4
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.19
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 2.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Llanelli Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.86
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
32%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
179%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Connah's Quay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Llanelli TownLigaConnah's Quay
Average goals per game 3.243.17 3.13
Both teams scored 35%50% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%59% 73%
Clean sheets 12%30% 40%
Goal before half-time 94%76% 73%
Goal after half-time 65%73% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.17
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / game
1.51
Away goals / game
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defensive advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Llanelli TownGoalJack Norris
  2. Connah's QuayGoalNoah Edwards
  3. Llanelli TownYellow cardEthan Cann
  4. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Zeli IsmailOff: Max Woodcock
  5. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Callum WestOff: Dan Roberts
  6. Llanelli TownSubstitutionOn: Tristan JenkinsOff: James Lester
  7. Connah's QuayGoalHarry Franklin
  8. Llanelli TownYellow cardHarrison Bright
  9. Connah's QuaySubstitutionOn: Callum BratleyOff: Declan Poole

Head-to-head

Record from Llanelli Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Connah's Quay. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Connah's Quay Nomads FC
3 : 0
Llanelli Town AFC

FAQ

What was the result of Llanelli Town vs Connah's Quay?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Llanelli Town 0:2 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Llanelli Town vs Connah's Quay?

Llanelli Town score 0.53 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.00. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Llanelli Town's matches and 53% of Connah's Quay's.

What form are Llanelli Town and Connah's Quay in?

Over the last 5 games Llanelli Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llanelli Town vs Connah's Quay?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.