Llanelli Town vs Penybont: match statistics
Penybont enters this fixture as the clear favorite, sitting 3rd in the table with 10 wins this season, whereas Llanelli Town ranks 12th with just 2 victories and a disastrous home goal difference of -17. The hosts have won only 10% of their home games, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match, and their recent form (5 consecutive defeats) is alarming. Penybont demonstrates solid away efficiency with a 50% win rate, averaging 2 goals scored per game, alongside a significantly superior shot conversion rate (18% vs 7%). Additionally, the visitors hold the edge in possession (49% vs 39%) and xG metrics (1.41 vs 1.05), confirming their offensive superiority. Taking all statistical parameters into account, Penybont should comfortably win this clash, though they may concede a goal given their away defensive record.
Llanelli Town vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Llanelli Town played against Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The game was played on January 1, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Llanelli Town has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Penybont has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Llanelli Town scores 0.55 goals per game and allows 2.65. Penybont scores 1.70 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Llanelli Town's games and 45% of Penybont's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 50%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Penybont has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.15 per game. Llanelli Town takes 8.6 shots per game, while Penybont takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Llanelli Town leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.15 goals per game after halftime. Penybont leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.10 after halftime.
When the teams score
Llanelli Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Penybont, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Welsh Premier League games average 3.08 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Penybont enters this fixture as the clear favorite, sitting 3rd in the table with 10 wins this season, whereas Llanelli Town ranks 12th with just 2 victories and a disastrous home goal difference of -17. The hosts have won only 10% of their home games, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match, and their recent form (5 consecutive defeats) is alarming. Penybont demonstrates solid away efficiency with a 50% win rate, averaging 2 goals scored per game, alongside a significantly superior shot conversion rate (18% vs 7%). Additionally, the visitors hold the edge in possession (49% vs 39%) and xG metrics (1.41 vs 1.05), confirming their offensive superiority. Taking all statistical parameters into account, Penybont should comfortably win this clash, though they may concede a goal given their away defensive record.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Llanelli Town | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Penybont is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Llanelli Town · 1 pts / game - Penybont
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 209% better for: goals scored per game.
0.55 goals / game - Llanelli Town · 1.7 goals / game - Penybont
Penybont is 77% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.65 goals / game - Llanelli Town · 1.5 goals / game - Penybont
Llanelli Town scores in 45% of games (9 of 20 meczów), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
Penybont scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Llanelli Town keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Llanelli Town
Over / Under - Penybont
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Penybont is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / game - Llanelli Town · 1.25 pts / game - Penybont
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Llanelli Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Llanelli Town
Penybont
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Llanelli Town | Liga | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.20 | 3.08 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 28% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 77% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Llanelli Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Penybont. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Llanelli Town vs Penybont?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Llanelli Town 0:1 Penybont. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Llanelli Town vs Penybont?
Llanelli Town score 0.55 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.70. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Llanelli Town's matches and 45% of Penybont's.
What form are Llanelli Town and Penybont in?
Over the last 5 games Llanelli Town have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Penybont 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llanelli Town vs Penybont?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Llanelli Town vs Penybont: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.