Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Manuel Calle LombanaData current as of September 19, 2026

Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Llaneros plays Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game is scheduled for September 21, 2026. Venue: Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana.

Recent form

Llaneros has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Atlético Nacional has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Llaneros scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.14. Atlético Nacional scores 2.06 and allows 0.84. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Llaneros's games and 44% of Atlético Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 66%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Atlético Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.16 per game. Llaneros takes 10.3 shots per game, while Atlético Nacional takes 16.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Llaneros leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Nacional leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.34 after halftime.

When the teams score

Llaneros's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Atlético Nacional, it is minutes 76-90+ (18 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Categoria Primera A games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.00)
(3.30)
(1.75)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

LlanerosAtlético Nacional
1Goals scored / game2.06
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
1.14Goals allowed / game0.84
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
46%Average possession58%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
3.43Shots on target / game6.44
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.29Shots per game16.75
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
3.43Shots on target6.44
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
9.7%Shot conversion12.3%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
46%Possession58%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
1.16xG for1.77
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
1.38xG against1.23
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

Shooting quality

Llaneros: BalancedAtlético Nacional: Dominant
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
Accuracy (shots on target)33%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Atlético Nacional is 400% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Llaneros · 3 pts / game - Atlético Nacional

Llaneros
WLLLL
Season result split
25% W43% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-12-9
1.18 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-7-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Atlético Nacional
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
75% W3% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
24-1-7
2.28 pts / game · goal difference +39
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
11-0-7
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Nacional is 106% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Llaneros · 2.06 goals / game - Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.14 goals / game - Llaneros · 0.84 goals / game - Atlético Nacional

Llaneros scoring profile: strong

Llaneros scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 games), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 games).

Atlético Nacional scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Nacional scores in 75% of games (24 of 32 games), while Llaneros keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 games).

28Goals scored (season)66
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
32Goals conceded (season)27
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
2.14Average goals per game2.91
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
5Goals scored (last 5)14
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
21%2 goals69%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
4%3 goals34%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
0%4 goals16%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal66%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
36%2 goals13%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
7%3 goals6%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
0%4 goals0%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
Atlético Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 32 games
55%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time25%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
4%BTTS in both halves3%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
11%Scored in both halves47%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
60%BTTS - last 580%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time34%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Nacional is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.11 pts / game - Llaneros · 1.44 pts / game - Atlético Nacional

Llaneros - half-time state
18% leading57% draw25% trailing
Atlético Nacional - half-time state
31% leading50% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.11Points per game (1st half)1.44
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.72
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
0.61Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
1.11Average goals (1st half)1.22
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
50%Clean sheet before half-time56%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
57%No goal before half-time50%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per game (2nd half)2.19
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1.34
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.34
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
1.04Average goals (2nd half)1.69
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
54%Clean sheet after half-time69%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional
57%No goal after half-time28%
LlanerosAtlético Nacional

Llaneros - second-half results

25% W46% D29% L
31
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.11
PPG before half-time
Lead holding139%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Atlético Nacional - second-half results

69% W13% D19% L
46
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
70
Second-half points
+32
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding242%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Llaneros - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.600.80
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game1.20.6
Average goals per game2.00.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Atlético Nacional - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.60
Goals scored / game1.01.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+2+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Llaneros
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
4
7
16-30
8
5
31-45
5
7
46-60
5
2
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Atlético Nacional
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
6
4
16-30
10
5
31-45
11
6
46-60
14
2
61-75
18
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.52
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+6%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Llaneros

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
198%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

LlanerosLigaAtlético Nacional
Average goals per game 2.142.56 2.91
Both teams scored 54%55% 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%48% 66%
Clean sheets 29%26% 34%
Goal before half-time 64%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 71%79% 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+46%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Llaneros's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Atlético Nacional. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Atlético Nacional
2 : 0
Llaneros
Club Llaneros SA
0 : 3
Club Atlético Nacional SA
Club Atlético Nacional SA
2 : 1
Club Llaneros SA

FAQ

When do Llaneros and Atlético Nacional play?

Llaneros face Atlético Nacional on September 21, 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Llaneros and Atlético Nacional?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Llaneros won 0, Atlético Nacional won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional?

Llaneros score 1.00 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 2.06. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Llaneros's matches and 44% of Atlético Nacional's.

What form are Llaneros and Atlético Nacional in?

Over the last 5 games Llaneros have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional?

The statistical background for Llaneros vs Atlético Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.