Llaneros vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
Independiente Medellín appears to have the edge in this encounter, despite their poor away form. The visitors showcase better offensive statistics with a higher average xG (1.30 vs 0.95) and more shots on target per match (4.75 vs 3.00). Llaneros have not won any home matches this season, with an alarming 0% win rate at their own stadium and no clean sheets. Medellín displays better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG) and has won two of them, indicating growing confidence. Although both teams have an identical goal difference (-1) in their matches, the quality of play and efficiency of Medellín point towards their victory. However, their history of poor away results (50% loss rate) warrants caution, hence a draw also remains a plausible scenario.
Llaneros vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Llaneros play Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 00:20. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Llaneros: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Llaneros scores 0.89 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Llaneros 47%, Independiente Medellín 68%. Over 2.5: Llaneros 21%, Independiente Medellín 58%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.12. Llaneros: 10.1 shots per match, Independiente Medellín: 14.6.
Match halves
Llaneros: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.53. Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Llaneros: 31-45+ (4 goals). Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Independiente Medellín appears to have the edge in this encounter, despite their poor away form. The visitors showcase better offensive statistics with a higher average xG (1.30 vs 0.95) and more shots on target per match (4.75 vs 3.00). Llaneros have not won any home matches this season, with an alarming 0% win rate at their own stadium and no clean sheets. Medellín displays better form in the last five matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG) and has won two of them, indicating growing confidence. Although both teams have an identical goal difference (-1) in their matches, the quality of play and efficiency of Medellín point towards their victory. However, their history of poor away results (50% loss rate) warrants caution, hence a draw also remains a plausible scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Llaneros | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Medellín is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Llaneros · 1.8 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Medellín is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Llaneros · 1.37 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Llaneros is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Llaneros · 1.26 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Llaneros scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Llaneros keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Llaneros
Over / Under — Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Llaneros is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Llaneros · 0.84 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Llaneros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Llaneros
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Llaneros | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.95 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Llaneros 0 - 0 - 2 Independiente Medellín. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Llaneros vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Llaneros 2:2 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Llaneros and Independiente Medellín?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Llaneros won 0, Independiente Medellín won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Llaneros vs Independiente Medellín?
Llaneros score 0.89 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.37. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Llaneros's matches and 68% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Llaneros and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Llaneros have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llaneros vs Independiente Medellín?
The statistical background for Llaneros vs Independiente Medellín — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.