Llaneros vs Once Caldas: match statistics
Llaneros vs Once Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Llaneros played against Once Caldas in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The game was played on March 30, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Llaneros has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Once Caldas has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Llaneros scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 1.00. Once Caldas scores 1.85 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Llaneros's games and 85% of Once Caldas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 23% and 54%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Once Caldas has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.10 per game. Llaneros takes 10.3 shots per game, while Once Caldas takes 14.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Llaneros leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Once Caldas leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Llaneros's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Once Caldas, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Categoria Primera A games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Llaneros at home exhibit a very high draw rate (Draw% 71%) and low win efficiency (Win% 14%), which makes a home win difficult. Once Caldas have better form and offence (24 season goals, 11 in last 5), higher away SOT (4.33) and FTS% 0, increasing their scoring chances. However xG and avg goals are similar (Llaneros xG for 1.10 vs Once Caldas xG for 1.19) and hosts rarely lose at home, favoring a draw. Recent results favor the visitors (PPG 2.0 vs 1.2), so I assign them significant win probability alongside the draw. Overall the most likely outcome is a draw, with clear risk of a Once Caldas win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong BTTS signal: both teams have very high seasonal BTTS (Llaneros 86%, Once Caldas 83%) and low CS rates (14% and 17%), increasing the probability of both teams scoring. xG and goals show Llaneros both creates and concedes regularly (xG_for 1.88, xG_against 1.30, avg 2.29 scored, 1.57 conceded), while Once Caldas also scores and is defensively exposed (xG_for 1.19, xG_against 1.58, avg 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded). Home shot/SOT advantage (17.57/6.71 vs 10.17/4.33) indicates sustained pressure, and guests’ 11 goals in last 5 show response capability. Despite league BTTS 56%, dominant team-level indicators and low CS make BTTS Yes the most confident pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates high goal potential: combined xG ~3.07 (1.88/1.19), both teams show very high BTTS rates (86% and 83%) and 100% >1.5 matches this season. Llaneros average 2.29 goals per match while opponents concede 1.0 on average, increasing home scoring probability. Shot and SOT numbers favor home offense (17.57 shots, 6.71 SOT). Combined xG and historical Over/Under 2.5 favor Over 2.5, though with less certainty than 1.5. Strongest signal: Over 1.5 given dominating seasonal stats.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Stats indicate a Llaneros advantage: notably higher xG (1.88 vs 1.19), more shots and season efficiency, translating into a higher share of HT leads and HT goals (scoredAVGHT_home 1.14, leadingAtHTPercentage_home 43%). Llaneros also have higher win rates and season PPG, increasing the probability of holding a lead through FT. High BTTS for both teams suggests the opponent may score, so scenarios with draws and BTTS receive significant weight. Once Caldas’ good recent form raises the chance of an equalizer or second-half advantage, justifying moderate probabilities for comebacks and draws. Overall the strongest signal is Llaneros leading at HT and winning FT (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Llaneros | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Once Caldas is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Llaneros · 2 pts / game - Once Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Once Caldas is 71% better for: goals scored per game.
1.08 goals / game - Llaneros · 1.85 goals / game - Once Caldas
Llaneros is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Llaneros · 1.31 goals / game - Once Caldas
Llaneros scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while Once Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).
Once Caldas scores in 100% of games (13 of 13 meczów), while Llaneros keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Llaneros
Over / Under - Once Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Once Caldas is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / game - Llaneros · 1.46 pts / game - Once Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Llaneros - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Once Caldas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Llaneros
Once Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Llaneros | Liga | Once Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.08 | 2.52 | ▲ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 55% | ▲ 85% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 48% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 70% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 79% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Llaneros's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Once Caldas. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Llaneros 1:1 Once Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Llaneros and Once Caldas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Llaneros won 1, Once Caldas won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
Llaneros score 1.08 goals per game on average and Once Caldas 1.85. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Llaneros's matches and 85% of Once Caldas's.
What form are Llaneros and Once Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Llaneros have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Once Caldas 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.