Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia: match statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv holds a distinct advantage as the host of this match. The team achieves a 46% win rate in home games and maintains a solid goal difference paired with a 46% clean sheet rate, indicating a stable defense at their own stadium. Septemvri Sofia suffers from very poor away form, with a mere 17% win rate and a massive 67% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per match and failing to score in half of their away fixtures. The disparity in goal difference is significant: the hosts sit at -3 in home games, while the visitors are at -19 on the road. The recent form of both sides is far from impressive; however, the xG statistics (1.32 vs 1.09) and superior home scoring efficiency tilt the scales in favor of Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Considering all factors, a home victory is the most likely scenario, though their weaker recent form could make it a closely contested match.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lokomotiv Plovdiv played against Septemvri Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on March 13, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Septemvri Sofia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.24. Septemvri Sofia scores 0.92 and allows 2.04. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's games and 46% of Septemvri Sofia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 58%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.15 per game. Lokomotiv Plovdiv takes 10.3 shots per game, while Septemvri Sofia takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Lokomotiv Plovdiv leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Septemvri Sofia leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Septemvri Sofia, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiv Plovdiv holds a distinct advantage as the host of this match. The team achieves a 46% win rate in home games and maintains a solid goal difference paired with a 46% clean sheet rate, indicating a stable defense at their own stadium. Septemvri Sofia suffers from very poor away form, with a mere 17% win rate and a massive 67% loss rate, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per match and failing to score in half of their away fixtures. The disparity in goal difference is significant: the hosts sit at -3 in home games, while the visitors are at -19 on the road. The recent form of both sides is far from impressive; however, the xG statistics (1.32 vs 1.09) and superior home scoring efficiency tilt the scales in favor of Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Considering all factors, a home victory is the most likely scenario, though their weaker recent form could make it a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Septemvri Sofia is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.2 pts / game - Septemvri Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 0.92 goals / game - Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 65% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.24 goals / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 2.04 goals / game - Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
Septemvri Sofia scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 meczów), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Over / Under - Septemvri Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 0.96 pts / game - Septemvri Sofia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 32%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Septemvri Sofia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Liga | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.24 | 2.32 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 44% | ▲ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 44% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 35% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | • 64% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Lokomotiv Plovdiv's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Septemvri Sofia. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
The First League match finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1:0 Septemvri Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 1.00 goals per game on average and Septemvri Sofia 0.92. The First League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's matches and 46% of Septemvri Sofia's.
What form are Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Septemvri Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Septemvri Sofia 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.