Bulgaria - First LeagueData current as of September 13, 2026

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna: match statistics

165%(1.64)
X25%(3.82)
210%(7.65)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv clearly dominates this encounter, sitting in 6th place in the table and showing solid form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches. The hosts have an impressive home record with 55% wins and 55% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.82 goals per match at home. Spartak Varna is in crisis, sitting in 12th place, without a win in its last 5 matches and with only 10% wins away from home. The visitors have poor offensive efficiency (0.6 goals on average away) and as many as 50% of their away matches end without scoring a goal. The difference in expected goals (xG 1.22 vs 0.89) and shot quality (3.64 vs 1.7 on target per match) further supports a confident home win.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Lokomotiv Plovdiv played against Spartak Varna in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Spartak Varna has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.10. Spartak Varna scores 0.95 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 2.36 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 48% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's games and 62% of Spartak Varna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 48%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.08 per game. Lokomotiv Plovdiv takes 10.2 shots per game, while Spartak Varna takes 8.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Lokomotiv Plovdiv leads at halftime in 48% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Spartak Varna leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.62 after halftime.

When the teams score

Lokomotiv Plovdiv's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Spartak Varna, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

First League games average 2.36 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv clearly dominates this encounter, sitting in 6th place in the table and showing solid form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches. The hosts have an impressive home record with 55% wins and 55% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.82 goals per match at home. Spartak Varna is in crisis, sitting in 12th place, without a win in its last 5 matches and with only 10% wins away from home. The visitors have poor offensive efficiency (0.6 goals on average away) and as many as 50% of their away matches end without scoring a goal. The difference in expected goals (xG 1.22 vs 0.89) and shot quality (3.64 vs 1.7 on target per match) further supports a confident home win.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

71Possession (%)29
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
19Shots5
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
6Shots on target1
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
2.36xG0.81
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
8Corners2
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
103Dangerous attacks58
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
16Fouls14
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
4Cards3
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
1.1Goals scored / game0.95
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
1.1Goals allowed / game1.52
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
45%Average possession42%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
3.86Shots on target / game2.81
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.19Shots per game8.48
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
3.86Shots on target2.81
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
10.7%Shot conversion11.2%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
45%Possession42%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
1.32xG for1.08
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
1.38xG against2.02
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

Shooting quality

Lokomotiv Plovdiv: BalancedSpartak Varna: Balanced
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 0.4 pts / game - Spartak Varna

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
DLLWD
Season result split
38% W43% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-9-4
1.57 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Spartak Varna
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
14% W48% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-10-8
0.90 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-6-3
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.94Opponent xG: 2.32BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1.1 goals / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 0.95 goals / game - Spartak Varna

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.1 goals / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.52 goals / game - Spartak Varna

Lokomotiv Plovdiv scoring profile: very strong

Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).

Spartak Varna scoring profile: strong

Spartak Varna scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 meczów).

23Goals scored (season)20
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
23Goals conceded (season)32
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
2.19Average goals per game2.48
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
4Goals scored (last 5)3
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
5Goals conceded (last 5)11
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal67%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
29%2 goals19%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
5%3 goals10%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
0%4 goals0%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal76%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
29%2 goals48%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
10%3 goals19%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
10%4 goals10%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

48%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 21 meczów
47%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time10%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
19%Scored in both halves19%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
40%BTTS - last 540%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.76 pts / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv · 1.05 pts / game - Spartak Varna

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - half-time state
48% leading33% draw19% trailing
Spartak Varna - half-time state
24% leading33% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.76Points per game (1st half)1.05
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
0.9Average goals (1st half)1.05
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
76%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
48%No goal before half-time67%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per game (2nd half)1.1
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
0.48Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
1.1Average goals (2nd half)1.43
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
57%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna
57%No goal after half-time48%
Lokomotiv PlovdivSpartak Varna

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results

19% W57% D24% L
37
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 38%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Spartak Varna - second-half results

24% W38% D38% L
22
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding58%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Spartak Varna - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.40
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.81.4
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
2
16-30
5
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
7
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Spartak Varna
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
9
31-45
4
5
46-60
2
2
61-75
7
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Spartak Varna

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.94
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

Lokomotiv PlovdivLigaSpartak Varna
Average goals per game 2.192.36 2.48
Both teams scored 48%47% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%46% 48%
Clean sheets 38%34% 24%
Goal before half-time 71%68% 71%
Goal after half-time 57%70% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.36
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / game
1.08
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Spartak VarnaYellow cardTsvetelin Chunchukov
  2. Spartak VarnaYellow cardAngel Granchov
  3. Lokomotiv PlovdivYellow cardMiha Trdan
  4. Spartak VarnaYellow cardTsvetelin Chunchukov
  5. Spartak VarnaSubstitutionOn: John EmmanuelOff: Angel Granchov
  6. Spartak VarnaSubstitutionOn: Saad MoukacharOff: João Pedro Ferreira Lopes
  7. Lokomotiv PlovdivGoalTodor Vasilev PavlovAssist: Joël Zwarts
  8. Lokomotiv PlovdivYellow cardIvaylo Ivaylov Ivanov
  9. Lokomotiv PlovdivSubstitutionOn: Mariyan VangelovOff: Ivaylo Ivaylov Ivanov
  10. Lokomotiv PlovdivYellow cardParvizchon Umarbaev
  11. Lokomotiv PlovdivYellow cardMartin Atanasov

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Gero PiskovMatches officiated: 9
6.11Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins22%Draws22%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Lokomotiv Plovdiv's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Spartak Varna. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

PFC Spartak 1918 Varna
1 : 2
PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv

FAQ

What was the result of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?

The First League match finished Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1:1 Spartak Varna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 1.10 goals per game on average and Spartak Varna 0.95. The First League average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's matches and 62% of Spartak Varna's.

What form are Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Spartak Varna in?

Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Spartak Varna 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna?

The statistical background for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.