Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum: match statistics
Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiv play Qizilqum in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Lokomotiv: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Qizilqum: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiv scores 1.27 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Qizilqum scores 0.73 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiv 55%, Qizilqum 27%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiv 45%, Qizilqum 36%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.18. Lokomotiv: 13.6 shots per match, Qizilqum: 9.9.
Match halves
Lokomotiv: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64. Qizilqum: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiv: 31-45+ (6 goals). Qizilqum: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Lokomotiv has the advantage in quality of chances: at home they average 14.25 shots and 4.5 on target per match, with xG 1.76 and 13 goals scored this season, while Qizilqum away records 10.75 shots, 3.25 on target, xG 1.21 and only 8 goals. The hosts control the ball significantly more (57% possession vs 37% for the visitors), which—given equal conversion rates of 7% for both teams—translates into a higher volume of chances for Lokomotiv. In the last 5 matches both teams averaged 1.4 points, but Lokomotiv scored 7 goals versus Qizilqum’s 4, and the hosts have a lower xG against (1.07 vs 1.38), indicating better defensive control by the home side. At the same time both teams failed to score in 50% of matches and Lokomotiv has only 25% clean sheets at home, while Qizilqum has 50% clean sheets away, which increases the risk of a low-scoring game or draw. Considering the advantage in possession, shot volume and xG, with moderate risk due to low finishing, I assess the chances as: home win ~60%, draw 25%, away win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiv | Qizilqum | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lokomotiv is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Lokomotiv · 1.4 pts / match - Qizilqum
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Lokomotiv · 0.73 goals / match - Qizilqum
Lokomotiv is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Lokomotiv · 1.36 goals / match - Qizilqum
Lokomotiv scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Qizilqum keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
Qizilqum scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lokomotiv
Over / Under — Qizilqum
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Lokomotiv · 1.18 pts / match - Qizilqum
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Qizilqum - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiv
Qizilqum
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiv | Liga | Qizilqum | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.55 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Lokomotiv 1:0 Qizilqum. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum?
Lokomotiv score 1.27 goals per game on average and Qizilqum 0.73. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Lokomotiv's matches and 27% of Qizilqum's.
What form are Lokomotiv and Qizilqum in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Qizilqum 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv vs Qizilqum?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.