Lokomotiv vs Termez Surkhon: match statistics
Termez Surkhon presents better form in the last five matches with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, giving them 2.0 PPG, while Lokomotiv achieved only 1.6 PPG with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The visitors also show significantly better offensive efficiency, scoring 7 goals in the last 5 matches while conceding just 2, translating to a goal difference of +5. Lokomotiv indeed scored 10 goals but conceded as many as 6, indicating lower defensive stability. The table position favors the hosts – Lokomotiv occupies 7th place, whereas Termez Surkhon is in 15th position – however, the recent form of the visitors is clearly superior. Considering all available statistical data, I predict a victory for Termez Surkhon in this encounter.
Lokomotiv vs Termez Surkhon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lokomotiv play Termez Surkhon in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Lokomotiv: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Termez Surkhon: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lokomotiv scores 1.38 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Termez Surkhon scores 1.08 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lokomotiv 62%, Termez Surkhon 58%. Over 2.5: Lokomotiv 46%, Termez Surkhon 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Lokomotiv has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.22. Lokomotiv: 13.4 shots per match, Termez Surkhon: 11.4.
Match halves
Lokomotiv: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.77. Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Lokomotiv: 31-45+ (7 goals). Termez Surkhon: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Termez Surkhon presents better form in the last five matches with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, giving them 2.0 PPG, while Lokomotiv achieved only 1.6 PPG with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The visitors also show significantly better offensive efficiency, scoring 7 goals in the last 5 matches while conceding just 2, translating to a goal difference of +5. Lokomotiv indeed scored 10 goals but conceded as many as 6, indicating lower defensive stability. The table position favors the hosts – Lokomotiv occupies 7th place, whereas Termez Surkhon is in 15th position – however, the recent form of the visitors is clearly superior. Considering all available statistical data, I predict a victory for Termez Surkhon in this encounter.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiv | Termez Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lokomotiv is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Lokomotiv · 1.4 pts / match - Termez Surkhon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lokomotiv is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Lokomotiv · 1.08 goals / match - Termez Surkhon
Lokomotiv is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Lokomotiv · 1.58 goals / match - Termez Surkhon
Lokomotiv scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Termez Surkhon scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Lokomotiv keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lokomotiv
Over / Under — Termez Surkhon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Lokomotiv · 0.92 pts / match - Termez Surkhon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiv - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lokomotiv
Termez Surkhon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiv | Liga | Termez Surkhon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.77 | 2.64 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiv vs Termez Surkhon?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Lokomotiv 3:1 Termez Surkhon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiv vs Termez Surkhon?
Lokomotiv score 1.38 goals per game on average and Termez Surkhon 1.08. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Lokomotiv's matches and 58% of Termez Surkhon's.
What form are Lokomotiv and Termez Surkhon in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiv have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Termez Surkhon 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiv vs Termez Surkhon?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lokomotiv vs Termez Surkhon: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.