Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica: match statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The home team shows a 40% win rate at home with only 30% losses, while Gorica wins only 22% of matches on the road and loses as many as 44%. A key factor is also average possession – Lokomotiva dominates with 52% in home matches, which translates to greater game control. Gorica has not kept a single clean sheet away this season, evidencing defensive problems. Although both teams have weaker form in the last five matches (0.8 PPG), the hosts have a better goal difference at home (-1) than Gorica does away (-2). xG statistics also favor Lokomotiva (1.4 vs 1.41 for Gorica), with the hosts defending more effectively in their own environment. All these factors indicate a moderate advantage for the hosts, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the even recent form of both teams.
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lokomotiva Zagreb played against Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on February 6, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Lokomotiva Zagreb has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Gorica has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.15 goals per game and allows 1.60. Gorica scores 1.15 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's games and 65% of Gorica's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 50%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lokomotiva Zagreb has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.36 per game. Lokomotiva Zagreb takes 11.0 shots per game, while Gorica takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Lokomotiva Zagreb leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Gorica leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.45 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lokomotiva Zagreb's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Gorica, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lokomotiva Zagreb holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. The home team shows a 40% win rate at home with only 30% losses, while Gorica wins only 22% of matches on the road and loses as many as 44%. A key factor is also average possession – Lokomotiva dominates with 52% in home matches, which translates to greater game control. Gorica has not kept a single clean sheet away this season, evidencing defensive problems. Although both teams have weaker form in the last five matches (0.8 PPG), the hosts have a better goal difference at home (-1) than Gorica does away (-2). xG statistics also favor Lokomotiva (1.4 vs 1.41 for Gorica), with the hosts defending more effectively in their own environment. All these factors indicate a moderate advantage for the hosts, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to the even recent form of both teams.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.6 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.45 goals / game - Gorica
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 90% of games (18 of 20 meczów), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 meczów).
Gorica scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Over / Under - Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.5 pts / game - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.75 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 22% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Lokomotiva Zagreb's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Gorica. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica?
The Prva HNL match finished Lokomotiva Zagreb 3:0 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lokomotiva Zagreb and Gorica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva Zagreb won 0, Gorica won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica?
Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.15 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.15. The Prva HNL average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's matches and 65% of Gorica's.
What form are Lokomotiva Zagreb and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gorica 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Gorica?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.