Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica: match statistics
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lokomotiva Zagreb played against Slaven Koprivnica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on April 21, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Lokomotiva Zagreb has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Slaven Koprivnica has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 1.53. Slaven Koprivnica scores 1.33 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 2.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's games and 67% of Slaven Koprivnica's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 60%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Slaven Koprivnica has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.34 per game. Lokomotiva Zagreb takes 10.5 shots per game, while Slaven Koprivnica takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Lokomotiva Zagreb leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Slaven Koprivnica leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.70 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lokomotiva Zagreb's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For Slaven Koprivnica, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.74 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Lokomotiva Zagreb to win (1). At home they average 1.40 goals scored and only 7% of home matches end without them scoring, while Slaven averages 1.20 goals away and fails to score in 27% of away matches. Defensively Lokomotiva concedes 1.33 goals per home game and keeps clean sheets in 27% of matches, whereas Slaven concedes 1.93 goals on the road — a 0.60 goal advantage for the hosts. Quality-of-chance metrics show 1.36 xG for Lokomotiva at home with an average of 3.8 shots on target, while Slaven’s opponents generate 1.78 xG away and Slaven only produces 3.27 shots on target, indicating weaker goal protection from the visitors. In the last 5 matches Lokomotiva scored 6 goals and average 1.4 points per game, versus Slaven’s 4 goals and 1.0 point per game; additionally Slaven wins just 13% of away matches compared to Lokomotiva’s 47% home win rate, so I favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long indicators strongly support BTTS: Lokomotiva has BTTS in 60% of matches, Slaven in 73%, and the league average is 55%. Lokomotiva averages 1.47 goals with xG 1.67 and records 4.53 shots on target per game, while Slaven concedes 1.93 goals on average with xG against 1.78, suggesting the home side will create chances against a weaker defense. Visitors also have scoring potential: Slaven averages 1.2 goals (xG 1.22), and Lokomotiva concedes 1.27 goals per game; additionally Slaven has only 7% clean sheets versus Lokomotiva’s 27%, so a clean sheet for Slaven is unlikely. In the last 5 matches for both teams BTTS has dropped to 40% each, which weakens the short-term signal, but the weight of season-long data (60% vs 73%) and Slaven’s high average goals conceded (1.93) prevail. Therefore I assess BTTS probability at 74% (yes) vs 26% (no) and recommend a “yes” (BTTS - Yes) bet as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a high percentage of matches with at least 2 goals: Lokomotiva 80% and Slaven 93%, therefore I rate Over 1.5 at 87% (Under 13%). Based on xG, I expect about 1.73 goals for Lokomotiva ((1.67+1.78)/2 ≈ 1.73) and 1.23 for Slaven ((1.22+1.25)/2 ≈ 1.23), giving a total of ~2.96 goals. Seasonal Over 2.5 are 53% for Lokomotiva and 67% for Slaven, and the league averages 2.74 goals per game, so I price Over 2.5 at 61% vs 39% Under. Over 3.5 is less likely with seasonal values of 27% and 40%, hence Under 3.5 at 66%. The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5, driven by very high seasonal rates of 80%/93% and a predicted combined xG close to 3.0.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Lokomotiva is statistically stronger over the full match: the home side’s average xG is 1.67 versus 1.22 for the visitors, the hosts average 14.47 shots per match compared to Slaven’s 9.93, and the home team has a 47% win rate this season versus 13% for the opponent. At Half-Time the most common outcome for Lokomotiva is a draw — the hosts were level at the break in 7 of 15 matches (47%), while Slaven led at the break in 7 of 15 games (47%), meaning the visitors often start stronger. The second half, however, favors Lokomotiva: the hosts score an average of 0.87 goals after the break, register 47% wins in second halves and accumulate 1.93 points in second halves, whereas Slaven concedes an average of 1.27 goals after the break and suffers 60% losses in second halves. As a result the most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a Lokomotiva victory Full-Time (X/1), hence my pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Slaven Koprivnica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lokomotiva Zagreb is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 0.4 pts / game - Slaven Koprivnica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Slaven Koprivnica is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.2 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.33 goals / game - Slaven Koprivnica
Lokomotiva Zagreb is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.53 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.6 goals / game - Slaven Koprivnica
Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 83% of games (25 of 30 meczów), while Slaven Koprivnica keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 meczów).
Slaven Koprivnica scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 meczów), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lokomotiva Zagreb
Over / Under - Slaven Koprivnica
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Slaven Koprivnica is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb · 1.37 pts / game - Slaven Koprivnica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 30%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Slaven Koprivnica - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 30%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Slaven Koprivnica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Lokomotiva Zagreb | Liga | Slaven Koprivnica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.73 | 2.74 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Lokomotiva Zagreb's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against Slaven Koprivnica. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica?
The Prva HNL match finished Lokomotiva Zagreb 2:1 Slaven Koprivnica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lokomotiva Zagreb and Slaven Koprivnica?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Lokomotiva Zagreb won 1, Slaven Koprivnica won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica?
Lokomotiva Zagreb score 1.20 goals per game on average and Slaven Koprivnica 1.33. The Prva HNL average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's matches and 67% of Slaven Koprivnica's.
What form are Lokomotiva Zagreb and Slaven Koprivnica in?
Over the last 5 games Lokomotiva Zagreb have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Slaven Koprivnica 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica?
The statistical background for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.