Lomza vs Bełchatów: match statistics
Lomza vs Bełchatów: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lomza played against Bełchatów in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The game was played on May 16, 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Recent form
Lomza has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Bełchatów has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Lomza scores 2.19 goals per game and allows 0.97. Bełchatów scores 1.65 and allows 2.03. Games in this league average 3.35 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Lomza's games and 68% of Bełchatów's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 71%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lomza has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.18 per game. Lomza takes 10.4 shots per game, while Bełchatów takes 7.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Lomza leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 1.39 goals per game after halftime. Bełchatów leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lomza's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (19 goals). For Bełchatów, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 1 games average 3.35 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lomża is the favorite in this match: they sit 3rd in the table, have 19 wins and 68 goals scored this season, and at home average 2.53 goals per game with no goalless matches (FTS 0%). Bełchatów are 12th, have 51 goals this season and on the road average 1.4 goals with 20% of away matches without scoring and a negative away goal difference (GD -7). Defensively the home side have a clear advantage: Lomża concede 0.93 goals at home versus 1.87 conceded by Bełchatów away, and the clean sheet rate is 47% vs 7% in favor of the hosts. Lomża also create more chances: at home they average 14.36 shots and 6.09 on target per game versus 9 shots and 4.33 on target for Bełchatów away, with the same conversion of 18%. Expected metrics confirm this comparison (xG 1.7 for Lomża vs 1.23 for Bełchatów, and xG against 1.12 vs 1.95) and considering form over the last 5 matches (Lomża 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss and 2.0 pts/game vs Bełchatów 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss and 1.6 pts/game) I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong BTTS signal: both teams have season BTTS rates of 63% (Lomza) and 73% (Bełchatów), versus a league average of 62%, and in the last 5 matches 60% and 80% respectively. Both sides frequently score and concede; average goals scored are 1.88 for Lomza and 1.40 for Bełchatów, while average goals conceded are 2.19 and 1.87, i.e. both teams concede roughly 2 goals per game. Last 5 matches show attacking form: Lomza scored 10 (2.0 per game) and conceded 5 (1.0), Bełchatów scored 9 (1.8) and conceded 8 (1.6), which increases the likelihood that both sides will score. xG and shots data also support BTTS: xG for Lomza is 1.13, xG against Bełchatów is 1.95, and average shots on target are 4.14 (Lomza) and 4.33 (Bełchatów), so chances should be created at both ends. Considering low clean sheet percentages of 19% and 7%, high 75%/67% of matches over 2.5 and 56%/60% of matches combining over 2.5 and BTTS, I assign 78% to 'Yes' and 22% to 'No' — the Goal/Goal scenario is clearly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
To calculate expected goals I used xG interactions: Lomza attack xG_for=1.13 vs Bełchatów defense xG_against=1.95 yields 1.54 expected goals for the home side, and Bełchatów attack xG_for=1.23 vs Lomza defense xG_against=1.41 yields 1.32 for the away side, totaling 2.86 goals. This aligns with seasonal figures: Lomza scores 1.88 on average, Bełchatów 1.40, while conceded rates are 2.19 (Lomza) and 1.87 (Bełchatów) and the league average is 3.34 goals per match. Arguments for the over are strong: Over 2.5 goals occurred in 75% of Lomza’s matches and 67% of Bełchatów’s (average 71%); in the last 5 games both teams have 60% of matches with Over 2.5, and BTTS is 63% and 73%. Therefore Over 1.5 looks almost certain (seasonal 81%/87%, projected 92%), Over 2.5 has significant probability (projected 71%), while the 3.5 line is more uncertain – seasonal Over3.5 is 56% and 47% (avg ~52%), but expected xG=2.86 is below 3.5, which gives a slight edge to Under 3.5. The strongest signal from the data is Over on the 2.5 line (consolidated seasonOver25 ~71% and expected 2.86 goals), therefore I recommend the "over" on 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Lomża led at the break in 6 matches (40%) versus 3 instances for Bełchatów (20%) and scores on average 0.73 goals by half-time compared to 0.6 for the visitors, which favors the home side regarding the first half. In the last 5 matches Lomża’s form is D W W W L with a 60% win rate, while Bełchatów’s is D D W W L with a 40% win rate, so current form favors the hosts. After the break Lomża scored 6 goals in the 46–60 minute window, whereas Bełchatów scored 0 in that interval, and the average points in the second half are 1.07 for the hosts versus 0.8 for the visitors, suggesting Lomża more frequently decides the outcome after the break. xG is 1.13 for Lomża and 1.23 for Bełchatów, but shot conversion is higher for the home side (23% vs 18%), with both teams on season showing shots on target in 63% and 73% of matches respectively; however, both teams rarely scored by HT (both teams to score by HT in 20% and 27%). On this basis I consider the strongest signal to be a Half-Time draw with a home win (X/1) and assign it a 28% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lomza | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lomza is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Lomza · 1.6 pts / game - Bełchatów
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lomza is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
2.19 goals / game - Lomza · 1.65 goals / game - Bełchatów
Lomza is 109% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.97 goals / game - Lomza · 2.03 goals / game - Bełchatów
Lomza scores in 87% of games (27 of 31 meczów), while Bełchatów keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 meczów).
Bełchatów scores in 77% of games (24 of 31 meczów), while Lomza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (13 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lomza
Over / Under - Bełchatów
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lomza is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - Lomza · 1.26 pts / game - Bełchatów
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lomza - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bełchatów - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lomza
Bełchatów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Lomza | Liga | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.16 | 3.35 | ▲ 3.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 62% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 20% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 84% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- LomzaGoalTymoteusz Klups
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Lomza's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bełchatów. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lomza vs Bełchatów?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Lomza 5:0 Bełchatów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lomza vs Bełchatów?
Lomza score 2.19 goals per game on average and Bełchatów 1.65. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Lomza's matches and 68% of Bełchatów's.
What form are Lomza and Bełchatów in?
Over the last 5 games Lomza have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bełchatów 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lomza vs Bełchatów?
The statistical background for Lomza vs Bełchatów — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.