Lorient vs Strasbourg: match statistics
Lorient vs Strasbourg: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lorient played against Strasbourg in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Lorient has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Strasbourg has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Lorient scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.47. Strasbourg scores 1.59 and allows 1.28. Games in this league average 2.81 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Lorient's games and 59% of Strasbourg's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 62%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Strasbourg has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.28 per game. Lorient takes 11.3 shots per game, while Strasbourg takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Lorient leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Strasbourg leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lorient's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Strasbourg, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.81 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I forecast a Lorient win. At home the team averages 1.93 goals per match, has a 53% win rate and a +9 goal differential at their stadium with an average xG of 1.34 and 4.47 shots on target per game. Strasbourg have scored more this season (46 vs 40 for Lorient) and enjoy higher possession (55% vs 45%), but their away xG is only 1.25 with a shot conversion of 15%, which limits chance quality. Defensively the hosts are superior: Lorient concede 1.33 goals at home with an opposing xG of 1.30, while Strasbourg concede 1.71 on the road with opposing xG 1.48; in the last 5 matches the hosts have conceded 5 goals versus 8 for the visitors. Additionally Lorient have never failed to score at home (0% goalless matches) and record 27% clean sheets, whereas Strasbourg failed to score in 21% of away games and have only 14% clean sheets on the road. Given better home efficiency (conversion 16% vs 15%), more shots on target (4.47 vs 4.0) and higher points per game in the last 5 matches (1.4 vs 1.2), I expect a narrow victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strasbourg has a very high seasonal BTTS rate at 71%, while Lorient at home is 47% and the league average is 49%, which favors a both teams to score scenario. Conversely, Lorient at home concedes only 0.87 goals on average and records 47% clean sheets, whereas Strasbourg concedes 1.71 goals and has just 14% clean sheets away, so Strasbourg is primarily the team more prone to concede. However, in the last 5 matches BTTS dropped to 40% for Lorient and 20% for Strasbourg, and the goal balance in those five games is 5 scored/5 conceded for Lorient and 7 scored/8 conceded for Strasbourg, which reduces confidence in the prediction. xG confirms a moderate probability of goals from both sides: Lorient generates 1.44 xG, and Strasbourg on average concedes 1.48 xG, and additionally the percentage of matches over 2.5 goals is 60% for Lorient and 64% for Strasbourg, therefore I give the edge to BTTS - Yes (62%) versus No (38%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and shot metrics indicate a moderate goal potential: Lorient has xG 1.44, averaging 12.07 shots and 5.0 on target, while Strasbourg has xG 1.25 with 10.64 shots and 4.0 on target. Calculating expected goals as the average of offensive xG and the opponent’s defensive xG yields for Lorient (1.44+1.48)/2 = 1.46, for Strasbourg (1.25+1.22)/2 = 1.23, total 2.69. Seasonal percentages show over 1.5 occurs in 73% of Lorient’s matches and 71% of Strasbourg’s (avg 72%), and over 2.5 in 60%/64% (avg 62%), giving a clear edge for over 1.5 and moderate support for over 2.5. Additionally both teams have very high over 0.5 rates (87% and 93%), and Strasbourg records 71% of matches with both teams scoring, which reduces the likelihood of a goalless game. Consequently the strongest signal is the over line at 1.5 (I recommend Over 1.5), over 2.5 remains a reasonable secondary option (~62%), whereas over 3.5 is less likely (~35%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Lorient led at half-time in 7 of 15 home matches (46.7%) and scores an average of 0.73 goals in the first half while conceding only 0.20, which strongly supports a home lead at the break. Over the season Lorient also posts a higher xG (1.44 vs 1.25 for Strasbourg) and a better home record (53% wins and an average of 1.8 points per home match vs 29% wins and 1.14 points per away match), so the home advantage persists over the full 90 minutes. Strasbourg, however, is more often involved in games with both teams scoring (BTTS 71%) and has a higher shot conversion rate (15% vs 13% for the home side), while conceding on average 1.71 goals per game and 0.64 by half-time, which raises the risk of a comeback/goal for the visitors after the break. Considering Lorient’s 46.7% rate of leading at the break, 80% of home clean sheets at half-time and 53% home win rate over the season, the strongest signal from the data is the 1/1 scenario (lead at half-time and home win).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lorient | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Strasbourg is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Lorient · 1.6 pts / game - Strasbourg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Strasbourg is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Lorient · 1.59 goals / game - Strasbourg
Strasbourg is 15% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.47 goals / game - Lorient · 1.28 goals / game - Strasbourg
Lorient scores in 70% of games (21 of 30 meczów), while Strasbourg keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
Strasbourg scores in 79% of games (23 of 29 meczów), while Lorient keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lorient
Over / Under - Strasbourg
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lorient - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Strasbourg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lorient
Strasbourg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lorient | Liga | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.80 | 2.81 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 29% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Lorient's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Strasbourg. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lorient vs Strasbourg?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lorient 2:3 Strasbourg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lorient vs Strasbourg?
Lorient score 1.33 goals per game on average and Strasbourg 1.59. The Ligue 1 average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Lorient's matches and 59% of Strasbourg's.
What form are Lorient and Strasbourg in?
Over the last 5 games Lorient have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Strasbourg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lorient vs Strasbourg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lorient vs Strasbourg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.