Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo: match statistics
Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Los Angeles FC played against Houston Dynamo in MLS (United States). The game was played on May 11, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Los Angeles FC has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Houston Dynamo has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Los Angeles FC scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 0.73. Houston Dynamo scores 1.30 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Los Angeles FC's games and 40% of Houston Dynamo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 40%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Houston Dynamo has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.42 per game. Los Angeles FC takes 12.8 shots per game, while Houston Dynamo takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Los Angeles FC leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 1.09 goals per game after halftime. Houston Dynamo leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Los Angeles FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Houston Dynamo, it is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Los Angeles FC shows strong home metrics: 6 home wins this season, averaging 2.17 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded per home match, with 83% clean sheets and a 67% home win rate. Houston Dynamo average 1.5 goals scored on the road but concede as many as 3.0 goals per away match and have only 25% clean sheets and a 25% away win rate, indicating clear defensive vulnerability away from home. The visitors have better overall form in the last five matches (4 wins and 2.4 points per game versus LA’s 2 wins and 1.6 points) and attempt more shots (14.75 vs 12.83) and possess higher away xG (1.62 vs 1.42), so they can create chances. Nevertheless, LAFC is more efficient at home (conversion rate 17% vs Houston’s 10%) and holds a favorable home goal differential (+9 versus Dynamo’s -6 on the road), which gives the hosts the edge. Considering the lower average goals conceded by the hosts (0.67 vs 3.0) and the high clean sheet rate 83% vs 25%, I tip a Los Angeles FC victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'BTTS - Yes' outcome appears more likely, as the league shows a high BTTS rate of 59% and Houston concedes on average 3.0 goals this season with xG against 1.69, indicating defensive vulnerability. Houston scores 1.5 goals on average and has xG 1.62, while LAFC has conceded 7 goals in the last 5 matches (1.4 avg) with xG against 1.73, so both teams have realistic chances to score. Offsetting this is LAFC's low season BTTS value of 33% (versus Houston 50%) and the fact LAFC averages only 1.17 goals this season and 5 goals in the last 5 (1.0 avg), which reduces confidence in a high-scoring game. Additionally, LAFC's season xG is 1.35 versus Houston's 1.62, and Houston produces more shots (14.75 vs 12.33) and more shots on target (5.5 vs 4.0), therefore based on these figures I give a 60% edge to 'Yes' versus 40% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Using a simple xG model (average of home attack xG 1.35 and away defense xG 1.69) I calculate expected goals: home 1.52, away 1.48, total 3.00 goals. That total of 3.00 is well above the 1.5 line and slightly above 2.5; additionally Houston concedes an average of 3.0 goals per game this season while LAFC concedes 1.0, which increases the risk of a higher-scoring affair. Shot statistics confirm offensive pressure: LAFC averages 12.33 shots with 4.0 on target, Houston 14.75 shots with 5.5 on target; their xG are 1.35 and 1.62 respectively. Comparing season metrics and form (over2.5: LAFC 33%, Houston 50%; in last 5 matches LAFC over2.5 60%, Houston 20%) I assign 82% probability to Over 1.5, 60% to Over 2.5 and 30% to Over 3.5. The best pick is Over 1.5, because the combined xG of 3.00, Houston’s poor defense (3.0 conceded on the season) and the league average of 3.2 goals per game provide the strongest, most reliable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a Half-Time draw and a Full-Time home win (X/1), because in the last five matches both teams were level at the break in 60% of cases, and the average goals at half-time in those games is only 0.2 for the home side and 0.2 for the visitors. LAFC scores especially after the break: in the last five matches they average 2.0 goals in the second half, 83% of their games produce at least one goal after half-time, and this season they have scored 3 goals in minutes 61–75 and 3 goals in minutes 76–90 (6 goals after the 60th minute in total). On a season basis the home team averages 2.0 points per home match and wins 67% of home games, which increases the chance of a turnaround after the break. Houston is in excellent form over the last five matches (80% wins and 2.4 points on average), with more shots and higher xG (averaging 14.75 shots, 5.5 on target and xG 1.62), but seasonally they concede many away goals (3.0 on average) and concede late goals (3 goals conceded in 76–90). For these reasons I expect frequent draws at 45 minutes (low HT goals 0.2+0.2) and a second-half decision in favor of LAFC, hence X/1 is my strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Los Angeles FC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Houston Dynamo is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Los Angeles FC · 1.8 pts / game - Houston Dynamo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Los Angeles FC is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
1.73 goals / game - Los Angeles FC · 1.3 goals / game - Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC is 147% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.73 goals / game - Los Angeles FC · 1.8 goals / game - Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 meczów), while Houston Dynamo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 meczów).
Houston Dynamo scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 meczów), while Los Angeles FC keeps a clean sheet in 73% (8 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Los Angeles FC
Over / Under - Houston Dynamo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Los Angeles FC is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Los Angeles FC · 1 pts / game - Houston Dynamo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Los Angeles FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Houston Dynamo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Los Angeles FC | Liga | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.45 | 3.20 | ▼ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 59% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 61% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 73% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 74% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 79% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Los Angeles FC's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Houston Dynamo. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?
The MLS match finished Los Angeles FC 1:4 Houston Dynamo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Los Angeles FC score 1.73 goals per game on average and Houston Dynamo 1.30. The MLS average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Los Angeles FC's matches and 40% of Houston Dynamo's.
What form are Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo in?
Over the last 5 games Los Angeles FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Houston Dynamo 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo?
The statistical background for Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.