Los Angeles II vs Minnesota United II: match statistics
Los Angeles II vs Minnesota United II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Los Angeles II played against Minnesota United II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game was played on June 25, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Los Angeles II has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Minnesota United II has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Los Angeles II scores 1.69 goals per game and allows 1.92. Minnesota United II scores 1.53 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 3.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 85% of Los Angeles II's games and 53% of Minnesota United II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 77% and 53%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Minnesota United II has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.67 per game. Los Angeles II takes 13.5 shots per game, while Minnesota United II takes 14.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Los Angeles II leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Minnesota United II leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Los Angeles II's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Minnesota United II, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS Next Pro games average 3.24 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Los Angeles II average 1.83 goals per home match with 56% possession and 4.67 shots on target per game, translating to a 67% home win rate and a +4 home goal difference. Minnesota United II on the road score 1.29 goals on average with 3 shots on target and a 9% conversion rate, have a -2 away goal difference and concede 1.57 goals per match, which weakens their prospects against the hosts’ solid offense. In terms of quality of chances xG is nearly even (xG: Los Angeles 1.53 vs Minnesota 1.52), but Los Angeles is far more clinical in converting chances (conversion 15% vs 9% and a lower share of matches without a goal 17% vs 29%). Both teams have similar form (3 wins in the last 5 and an average of 2 points per game), while Minnesota have scored more in the last 5 matches (13 vs 9) but also conceded more (9 vs 7), indicating greater defensive instability from the visitors. Based on Los Angeles’s home statistical advantage, efficiency and lower risk of failing to score, I expect a home win; estimated probabilities: 62% home, 20% draw, 18% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend the 'Both Teams To Score' (BTTS - Yes) market with a 75% probability vs 25% for No. In the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 80% of cases (Los Angeles II 80% and Minnesota United II 80%), and the league BTTS rate is 62%, which strongly favors both teams scoring. Seasonally Los Angeles II has BTTS 50% and Minnesota 57%, with Minnesota recording only 14% clean sheets vs 38% for the home side, and in the last 5 fixtures average goals for/against are 1.8/1.4 (Los Angeles) and 2.6/1.8 (Minnesota), suggesting goal exchange. This is supported by xG metrics: offensive xG 1.93 (Los Angeles) vs 1.52 (Minnesota) and xG against 1.28 vs 1.41, and average shots on target 6.38 vs 3.0, indicating chance creation on both ends. Considering the dominant signals from the last 5 matches and the league BTTS level, the 'Yes' scenario is stronger, hence the 75% preference.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.67 goals for Los Angeles II (xG 1.93 vs xG conceded 1.41 => (1.93+1.41)/2 = 1.67) and 1.40 for Minnesota United II (xG 1.52 vs xG conceded 1.28 => (1.52+1.28)/2 = 1.40), totaling ~3.07 xG. Season percentages show both teams frequently reach at least 2 goals: Los Angeles has 75% of matches over 1.5, Minnesota 71%, and the league average is 65%, which favors Over 1.5. Based on total xG = 3.07 I estimate roughly an 81% probability of at least 2 goals and about 59% for at least 3 goals, supporting a moderate edge on Over 2.5. The 3.5 line has weaker seasonal support (38% for Los Angeles, 14% for Minnesota) and given the xG (~3.07) I assess Over 3.5 at ~37%, so Under 3.5 is more likely. Summary: the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (high 75% and 71% plus xG ~3.07 => ~81%), therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Los Angeles II led at the break in 4 matches this season (50%), while Minnesota United II were trailing at half-time in 4 games (57%), which strongly indicates a home-side advantage in the first half. The offensive quality gap is confirmed by xG 1.93 versus 1.52 and 6.38 shots on target versus 3.0, and at half-time Los Angeles II average 0.88 goals compared to Minnesota’s 0.57. Over the full match the hosts average 1.75 goals versus 1.29 and win 50% of matches versus the visitors’ 43%, increasing the likelihood of maintaining the lead to full-time. Additionally, Los Angeles II earn an average of 1.63 points in second halves versus Minnesota’s 1.14 points, suggesting greater ability from the hosts to control the second half; therefore the most probable scenario is HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Los Angeles II | Minnesota United II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Los Angeles II is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.69 goals / game - Los Angeles II · 1.53 goals / game - Minnesota United II
Minnesota United II is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.92 goals / game - Los Angeles II · 1.47 goals / game - Minnesota United II
Los Angeles II scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while Minnesota United II keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).
Minnesota United II scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Los Angeles II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Los Angeles II
Over / Under - Minnesota United II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Minnesota United II is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / game - Los Angeles II · 1.4 pts / game - Minnesota United II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Los Angeles II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Minnesota United II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Los Angeles II
Minnesota United II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Los Angeles II | Liga | Minnesota United II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.62 | 3.24 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 85% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 65% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Los Angeles II's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Minnesota United II. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Los Angeles II vs Minnesota United II?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Los Angeles II 1:0 Minnesota United II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Los Angeles II vs Minnesota United II?
Los Angeles II score 1.69 goals per game on average and Minnesota United II 1.53. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 85% of Los Angeles II's matches and 53% of Minnesota United II's.
What form are Los Angeles II and Minnesota United II in?
Over the last 5 games Los Angeles II have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Minnesota United II 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Los Angeles II vs Minnesota United II?
The statistical background for Los Angeles II vs Minnesota United II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.