Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic: match statistics
Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Louisville City play Hartford Athletic in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 5 July 2026 at 02:00. Venue: Lynn Family Stadium. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Louisville City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Hartford Athletic: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Louisville City scores 1.67 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Hartford Athletic scores 0.86 and concedes 0.93. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Louisville City 53%, Hartford Athletic 29%. Over 2.5: Louisville City 47%, Hartford Athletic 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Louisville City has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.43. Louisville City: 16.9 shots per match, Hartford Athletic: 11.5.
Match halves
Louisville City: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 1.00. Hartford Athletic: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Louisville City: 76-90+ (7 goals). Hartford Athletic: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Louisville City generates significantly more chances at home: on average 2.15 xG, 18.43 shots and 5.86 shots on target per match, translating to 1.57 goals per game with a 9% conversion rate. Hartford away posts weaker creation numbers (1.33 xG, 11.67 shots and 4.0 shots on target) and scores 1.00 goal per match, while conceding only 0.50 goals on the road and maintaining 67% clean sheets. In the last 5 fixtures both teams have scored 5 goals each, but Louisville’s form is 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (1.2 pts/match), whereas Hartford is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 pts/match). The hosts’ key advantage is the quality of chances created (xG 2.15 vs 1.33 and 5.86 vs 4.0 shots on target), while the visitors’ main strength is defensive solidity (0.50 conceded away vs 1.57 conceded by the hosts and only 14% clean sheets for Louisville). Considering Louisville’s edge in chance creation and Hartford’s better recent points metrics, I still forecast a home win, although the scoreline may be tight.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Louisville City | Hartford Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Louisville City is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Louisville City · 1.2 pts / match - Hartford Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Louisville City is 94% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Louisville City · 0.86 goals / match - Hartford Athletic
Hartford Athletic is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Louisville City · 0.93 goals / match - Hartford Athletic
Louisville City scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Hartford Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).
Hartford Athletic scores in 43% of matches (6 of 14 matches), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Louisville City
Over / Under — Hartford Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hartford Athletic is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - Louisville City · 1.36 pts / match - Hartford Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hartford Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Louisville City
Hartford Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Louisville City | Liga | Hartford Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.80 | ▼ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Louisville City 1 - 1 - 0 Hartford Athletic. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
The USL Championship match finished Louisville City 1:0 Hartford Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Louisville City and Hartford Athletic?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 1, Hartford Athletic won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
Louisville City score 1.67 goals per game on average and Hartford Athletic 0.86. The USL Championship average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Louisville City's matches and 29% of Hartford Athletic's.
What form are Louisville City and Hartford Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Louisville City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hartford Athletic 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic?
The statistical background for Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.