Louisville City vs Indy Eleven: match statistics
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Louisville City played against Indy Eleven in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on October 17, 2026. Venue: Lynn Family Stadium. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Louisville City has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Indy Eleven has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Louisville City scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.56. Indy Eleven scores 1.21 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Louisville City's games and 54% of Indy Eleven's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 46%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Louisville City has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.58 per game. Louisville City takes 15.5 shots per game, while Indy Eleven takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Louisville City leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.96 goals per game after halftime. Indy Eleven leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Louisville City's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (10 goals). For Indy Eleven, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Louisville City are the favorites: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals in the process, while Indy Eleven have failed to win any and have scored just 2. At home, Louisville win 46% of their matches and average 5.92 shots on target, while Indy win just 8% of their away matches and average 3.85 shots on target. The hosts score an average of 1.38 goals at home, whereas the visitors score 0.77 away and fail to find the net in 46% of such matches. Louisville’s edge is reinforced by the quality of the chances they create: their home xG is 2.09, compared with the 1.68 xG Indy concede away. A draw remains possible, but Indy’s 62% away-loss rate and 8 goals conceded in their last 5 matches point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Indy Eleven’s lack of attacking output: the visitors have failed to score in 46% of their matches and have managed just 2 goals in total across their last 5 games. Over the same period, Louisville City averaged 1.6 goals per match, while Indy conceded 1.6, making a home goal seem more likely. The season BTTS rates are 60% for Louisville and 46% for Indy, which is not as strong a signal for both teams to score. The visitors do generate an xG of 1.43, but their average of 0.77 goals scored per match and a shot conversion rate of 6% suggest they may fail to take their chances. Therefore, the “No” pick primarily reflects the risk that Indy will fail to score, rather than a prediction of a goalless draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Louisville City score an average of 1.6 goals, while Indy Eleven concede 1.54; moreover, the visitors have conceded in 92% of their matches. The hosts average 5.67 shots on target compared with Indy’s 3.85, strengthening the expectation that they will create more chances. At least 2 goals were scored in 80% of Louisville’s matches and 62% of Indy’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick. Higher lines are less convincing: Indy failed to score in 46% of matches and averaged just 0.4 goals across their last 5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is Louisville City leading at the break and holding on until full time: the hosts led at half-time in 53% of their matches, while Indy Eleven were trailing at that point in 62%. Louisville average 0.73 goals before the break, while Indy concede 0.77, strengthening the case for an early home lead. The full-match figures also favor Louisville: they score an average of 1.60 goals compared with Indy’s 0.77 and have won 53% of their matches, while their opponents have won just 8%. In their last five matches, the hosts recorded three wins and the visitors none; moreover, Louisville averaged 1.0 goals after the break, while Indy failed to score. A half-time draw remains a notable alternative, as the hosts went into the break level in 33% of their matches. However, Louisville’s advantage in both halves points primarily to an HT/FT 1/1 selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Louisville City | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Louisville City is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Louisville City · 0.2 pts / game - Indy Eleven
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Louisville City is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.67 goals / game - Louisville City · 1.21 goals / game - Indy Eleven
Indy Eleven is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.56 goals / game - Louisville City · 1.29 goals / game - Indy Eleven
Louisville City scores in 85% of games (23 of 27 games), while Indy Eleven keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 games).
Indy Eleven scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 games), while Louisville City keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Louisville City
Over / Under - Indy Eleven
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Indy Eleven is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / game - Louisville City · 1.29 pts / game - Indy Eleven
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Louisville City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Indy Eleven - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Louisville City
Indy Eleven
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Louisville City | Liga | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.22 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Louisville City's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Indy Eleven. Games average 4.20 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
The USL Championship match finished Louisville City 4:1 Indy Eleven. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Louisville City and Indy Eleven?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Louisville City won 3, Indy Eleven won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Louisville City score 1.67 goals per game on average and Indy Eleven 1.21. The USL Championship average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Louisville City's matches and 54% of Indy Eleven's.
What form are Louisville City and Indy Eleven in?
Over the last 5 games Louisville City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Indy Eleven 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.