Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia: match statistics
Ludogorets shows a clear advantage in home matches, with a 58% win rate and an impressive average of 1.83 goals per match. The hosts have a significantly better home goal difference (+13) and higher xG values (2.55 to 1.85), which proves greater offensive efficiency. CSKA Sofia has balanced statistics in away matches (33% wins, draws, and losses), but they score an average of only 1.08 goals away, which is clearly less than Ludogorets at home. The recent form of both teams is good, however, the home advantage and xG statistics speak in favor of the hosts. Ludogorets' high possession percentage (66%) and low fail-to-score rate (8%) further strengthen the prediction for their victory, although CSKA's solid form in the last five matches (2.4 PPG) makes a draw a realistic scenario as well.
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ludogorets played against CSKA Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Ludogorets has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. CSKA Sofia has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Ludogorets scores 1.84 goals per game and allows 0.72. CSKA Sofia scores 1.44 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 2.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Ludogorets's games and 44% of CSKA Sofia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 32%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ludogorets has the higher season xG average, 2.18 to 2.09 per game. Ludogorets takes 17.1 shots per game, while CSKA Sofia takes 17.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Ludogorets leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 1.24 goals per game after halftime. CSKA Sofia leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ludogorets's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For CSKA Sofia, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.32 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ludogorets shows a clear advantage in home matches, with a 58% win rate and an impressive average of 1.83 goals per match. The hosts have a significantly better home goal difference (+13) and higher xG values (2.55 to 1.85), which proves greater offensive efficiency. CSKA Sofia has balanced statistics in away matches (33% wins, draws, and losses), but they score an average of only 1.08 goals away, which is clearly less than Ludogorets at home. The recent form of both teams is good, however, the home advantage and xG statistics speak in favor of the hosts. Ludogorets' high possession percentage (66%) and low fail-to-score rate (8%) further strengthen the prediction for their victory, although CSKA's solid form in the last five matches (2.4 PPG) makes a draw a realistic scenario as well.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ludogorets | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CSKA Sofia is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Ludogorets · 2.4 pts / game - CSKA Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 28% better for: goals scored per game.
1.84 goals / game - Ludogorets · 1.44 goals / game - CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.72 goals / game - Ludogorets · 0.76 goals / game - CSKA Sofia
Ludogorets scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 meczów).
CSKA Sofia scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 56% (14 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ludogorets
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / game - Ludogorets · 1.64 pts / game - CSKA Sofia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Ludogorets | Liga | CSKA Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.56 | 2.32 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | • 44% | 44% | • 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 44% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 35% | • 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 64% | 64% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 70% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ludogorets's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against CSKA Sofia. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
The First League match finished Ludogorets 3:0 CSKA Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
Ludogorets score 1.84 goals per game on average and CSKA Sofia 1.44. The First League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ludogorets's matches and 44% of CSKA Sofia's.
What form are Ludogorets and CSKA Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Ludogorets have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and CSKA Sofia 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?
The statistical background for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.