Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: match statistics
Ludogorets demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with 60% wins and an impressive average of 2.0 goals scored per match against only 0.8 conceded. Their advantage in Expected Goals (xG 2.65 vs 0.91) and possession dominance (66%) indicate clear control of the game at home. Lokomotiv Plovdiv, despite good recent form (2.2 PPG), is characterized by a defensive style of play on the road with 60% draws and only 20% victories. The difference in offensive quality (xG: 2.65 vs 1.42) and table position (2nd place vs 6th place) speak in favor of the hosts. Ludogorets' goal difference (+12) in home matches against the guests' negative balance (-2) away further confirms the favorite's advantage. A solid victory for the hosts is expected, although Lokomotiv's solid defense in recent matches (only 2 goals conceded in 5 games) may result in a low scoreline.
Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ludogorets played against Lokomotiv Plovdiv in First League (Bulgaria). The game was played on March 2, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Ludogorets has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Lokomotiv Plovdiv has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Ludogorets scores 1.86 goals per game and allows 0.77. Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores 1.09 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 45% of Ludogorets's games and 50% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 36%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ludogorets has the higher season xG average, 2.19 to 1.36 per game. Ludogorets takes 17.2 shots per game, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Ludogorets leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 1.32 goals per game after halftime. Lokomotiv Plovdiv leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ludogorets's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Lokomotiv Plovdiv, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ludogorets demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with 60% wins and an impressive average of 2.0 goals scored per match against only 0.8 conceded. Their advantage in Expected Goals (xG 2.65 vs 0.91) and possession dominance (66%) indicate clear control of the game at home. Lokomotiv Plovdiv, despite good recent form (2.2 PPG), is characterized by a defensive style of play on the road with 60% draws and only 20% victories. The difference in offensive quality (xG: 2.65 vs 1.42) and table position (2nd place vs 6th place) speak in favor of the hosts. Ludogorets' goal difference (+12) in home matches against the guests' negative balance (-2) away further confirms the favorite's advantage. A solid victory for the hosts is expected, although Lokomotiv's solid defense in recent matches (only 2 goals conceded in 5 games) may result in a low scoreline.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ludogorets | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ludogorets is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Ludogorets · 1 pts / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ludogorets is 71% better for: goals scored per game.
1.86 goals / game - Ludogorets · 1.09 goals / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.77 goals / game - Ludogorets · 1.09 goals / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Lokomotiv Plovdiv keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 meczów).
Lokomotiv Plovdiv scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Ludogorets keeps a clean sheet in 55% (12 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ludogorets
Over / Under - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / game - Ludogorets · 1.73 pts / game - Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ludogorets - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 36%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Ludogorets | Liga | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.64 | 2.35 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 34% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 65% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 69% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Ludogorets's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
The First League match finished Ludogorets 1:1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Ludogorets score 1.86 goals per game on average and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.09. The First League average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Ludogorets's matches and 50% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's.
What form are Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in?
Over the last 5 games Ludogorets have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.