Lugazi Municipal vs BUL: match statistics
The match promises to be very close, suggesting a draw. Lugazi Municipal has a better home record (33% wins, +4 goal difference), but their form is poor (0 wins in the last 5 matches, 0.4 PPG). BUL presents better current form (2 consecutive wins, 1.2 PPG), however, they struggle on the road (only 20% wins, averaging 0.8 goals per match). The xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for the hosts (1.73 vs 1.29), but their recent results raise concerns. Given Lugazi's poor form and BUL's mediocre away performance, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although the hosts have a slight edge due to home advantage.
Lugazi Municipal vs BUL: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lugazi Municipal played against BUL in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 27, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Lugazi Municipal has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. BUL has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Lugazi Municipal scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 1.38. BUL scores 0.92 and allows 1.08. Games in this league average 2.30 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Lugazi Municipal's games and 46% of BUL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 38%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lugazi Municipal has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.44 per game. Lugazi Municipal takes 9.2 shots per game, while BUL takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Lugazi Municipal leads at halftime in 23% of its games and scores 0.38 goals per game after halftime. BUL leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.15 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lugazi Municipal's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For BUL, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.30 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very close, suggesting a draw. Lugazi Municipal has a better home record (33% wins, +4 goal difference), but their form is poor (0 wins in the last 5 matches, 0.4 PPG). BUL presents better current form (2 consecutive wins, 1.2 PPG), however, they struggle on the road (only 20% wins, averaging 0.8 goals per match). The xG statistics indicate a slight advantage for the hosts (1.73 vs 1.29), but their recent results raise concerns. Given Lugazi's poor form and BUL's mediocre away performance, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although the hosts have a slight edge due to home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lugazi Municipal | BUL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
BUL is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Lugazi Municipal · 1.2 pts / game - BUL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BUL is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
0.85 goals / game - Lugazi Municipal · 0.92 goals / game - BUL
BUL is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Lugazi Municipal · 1.08 goals / game - BUL
Lugazi Municipal scores in 38% of games (5 of 13 games), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 games).
BUL scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 games), while Lugazi Municipal keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lugazi Municipal
Over / Under - BUL
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - Lugazi Municipal · 1.69 pts / game - BUL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lugazi Municipal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
BUL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 31%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lugazi Municipal
BUL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Lugazi Municipal | Liga | BUL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.23 | 2.30 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 45% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 41% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 62% | 62% | ▼ 31% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Lugazi Municipal vs BUL?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Lugazi Municipal 2:1 BUL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lugazi Municipal vs BUL?
Lugazi Municipal score 0.85 goals per game on average and BUL 0.92. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Lugazi Municipal's matches and 46% of BUL's.
What form are Lugazi Municipal and BUL in?
Over the last 5 games Lugazi Municipal have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and BUL 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lugazi Municipal vs BUL?
The statistical background for Lugazi Municipal vs BUL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.