Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Luton Town play Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Luton Town: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Luton Town scores 1.48 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.55 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Luton Town 54%, Bolton Wanderers 61%. Over 2.5: Luton Town 54%, Bolton Wanderers 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.51. Luton Town: 13.2 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 16.5.

Match halves

Luton Town: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.70. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.04.

Goals by minute

Luton Town: 31-45+ (16 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (28 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
18Shots8
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
4Shots on target1
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
2.07xG0.87
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
13Corners2
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
91Dangerous attacks41
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
8Fouls7
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1Cards3
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.48Goals scored / match1.55
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.22Goals conceded / match1.08
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
56%Average possession59%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
4.09Shots on target / match5.08
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.24Shots per match16.53
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
4.09Shots on target5.08
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
11.2%Shot conversion9.4%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
56%Possession59%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.51xG for1.79
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.23xG against1.15
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Shooting quality

Luton Town: BalancedBolton Wanderers: Dominant
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
Accuracy (shots on target)31%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Luton Town is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Luton Town · 2 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers

Luton Town
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
46% W24% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-11-14
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-6-4
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Bolton Wanderers
DLWWW
Season result split
45% W37% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
22-18-9
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-10-7
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bolton Wanderers is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.48 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.55 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.22 goals / match - Luton Town · 1.08 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers

Luton Town scoring profile: very strong

Luton Town scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (13 of 49 matches).

Bolton Wanderers scoring profile: very strong

Bolton Wanderers scores in 80% of matches (39 of 49 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).

68Goals scored (season)76
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
56Goals conceded (season)53
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
2.7Average goals in match2.63
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
11Goals scored (last 5)9
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
50%2 goals43%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
15%3 goals18%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
2%4 goals10%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal73%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
33%2 goals27%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
13%3 goals8%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
2%4 goals0%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
Bolton Wanderers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.30 of 49 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time10%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
7%BTTS in both halves2%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
30%Scored in both halves20%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
80%BTTS - last 560%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Luton Town is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - Luton Town · 1.29 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers

Luton Town - half-time state
35% leading39% draw26% trailing
Bolton Wanderers - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)1.29
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.51
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.37Average goals (1st half)0.94
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
59%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
43%No goal before half-time65%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.35Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)1.04
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.69
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
48%Clean sheet after half-time53%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
46%No goal after half-time35%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Luton Town - second-half results

33% W37% R30% P
66
Half-time points
36
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bolton Wanderers - second-half results

43% W39% R18% P
63
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
82
Second-half points
+19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding155%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Luton Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.0
Average goals in match2.41.0
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%100%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 6
Bolton Wanderers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Luton Town
ScoredConceded
9
9
0-15
11
7
16-30
16
11
31-45
10
11
46-60
7
9
61-75
15
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Bolton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
9
5
16-30
8
12
31-45
11
14
46-60
12
10
61-75
28
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (28 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +20 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+88%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Luton Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.99
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Bolton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
37% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
37%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Luton TownLigaBolton Wanderers
Average goals in match 2.702.62 2.63
Both teams scored 54%52% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%51% 47%
Clean sheets 28%27% 27%
Goal before half-time 74%70% 61%
Goal after half-time 80%81% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Luton Town 1 - 0 - 0 Bolton Wanderers. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

The EFL League One match finished Luton Town 1:1 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

Luton Town score 1.48 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.55. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Luton Town's matches and 61% of Bolton Wanderers's.

What form are Luton Town and Bolton Wanderers in?

Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.