Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Luton Town played against Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The game was played on November 29, 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Luton Town has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Bolton Wanderers has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Luton Town scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.24. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.44 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 29% of Luton Town's games and 50% of Bolton Wanderers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 38%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bolton Wanderers has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.49 per game. Luton Town takes 12.3 shots per game, while Bolton Wanderers takes 16.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Luton Town leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Bolton Wanderers leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.88 after halftime.

When the teams score

Luton Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Bolton Wanderers, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

55Possession (%)45
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
18Shots8
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
4Shots on target1
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
2.07xG0.87
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
13Corners2
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
91Dangerous attacks41
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
8Fouls7
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1Cards3
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.18Goals scored / game1.44
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.24Goals allowed / game0.94
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
58%Average possession58%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
3.82Shots on target / game5.31
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.35Shots per game16.81
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
3.82Shots on target5.31
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
9.5%Shot conversion8.6%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
58%Possession58%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.49xG for1.84
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.09xG against0.91
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Shooting quality

Luton Town: BalancedBolton Wanderers: Dominant
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
Accuracy (shots on target)31%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Luton Town
WWDLW
Season result split
47% W12% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-7
1.53 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Bolton Wanderers
LWWWD
Season result split
44% W38% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-3
1.69 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bolton Wanderers is 22% better for: goals scored per game.

1.18 goals / game - Luton Town · 1.44 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.24 goals / game - Luton Town · 0.94 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers

Luton Town scoring profile: strong

Luton Town scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).

Bolton Wanderers scoring profile: strong

Bolton Wanderers scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 meczów).

20Goals scored (season)23
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
21Goals conceded (season)15
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
2.41Average goals per game2.38
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal75%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
35%2 goals38%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
12%3 goals19%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0%4 goals13%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal69%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
41%2 goals19%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
18%3 goals6%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
6%4 goals0%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time6%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
6%BTTS in both halves0%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
24%Scored in both halves25%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS19%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
20%BTTS - last 520%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bolton Wanderers is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / game - Luton Town · 1.31 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers

Luton Town - half-time state
29% leading35% draw35% trailing
Bolton Wanderers - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per game (1st half)1.31
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1Average goals (1st half)0.94
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
65%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
65%No goal before half-time69%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per game (2nd half)1.69
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
1.41Average goals (2nd half)1.44
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
47%Clean sheet after half-time56%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers
41%No goal after half-time31%
Luton TownBolton Wanderers

Luton Town - second-half results

35% W35% D29% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bolton Wanderers - second-half results

44% W38% D19% L
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Luton Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bolton Wanderers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Luton Town
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
5
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
7
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Bolton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
4
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
4
3
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Luton Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

Bolton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.93
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Luton TownLigaBolton Wanderers
Average goals per game 2.412.47 2.38
Both teams scored 29%49% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%47% 38%
Clean sheets 47%28% 31%
Goal before half-time 65%67% 63%
Goal after half-time 82%83% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / game
1.03
Away goals / game
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Bolton WanderersGoalKyle Michael DempseyAssist: Jordi Osei-Tutu
  2. Bolton WanderersYellow cardXavier Simons
  3. Luton TownYellow cardNigel Lonwijk
  4. Bolton WanderersYellow cardJosh Cogley
  5. Luton TownSubstitutionOn: Gideon KaduaOff: Jacob Brown
  6. Bolton WanderersYellow cardXavier Simons
  7. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Marcus ForssOff: Amario Cozier-Duberry
  8. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Richard TaylorOff: Jordi Osei-Tutu
  9. Luton TownGoalGideon KaduaAssist: Millenic Alli
  10. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: John McateeOff: Josh Cogley

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

The EFL League One match finished Luton Town 1:1 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

Luton Town score 1.18 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.44. The EFL League One average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Luton Town's matches and 50% of Bolton Wanderers's.

What form are Luton Town and Bolton Wanderers in?

Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.