Luton Town vs Bradford City: match statistics
Luton Town displays significantly better home form with a 53% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +9 in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.47 goals per home game while conceding just 0.87, which translates to a 47% clean sheet rate. Bradford City has weaker away form with only a 29% win rate on the road, a negative goal difference of -5, and a high 36% of matches without a scored goal. Expected goals (xG) statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.23), and Luton controls the game better with 56% average possession in home fixtures. The recent form of both teams is mixed, but Luton's home advantage and Bradford's away weaknesses point to a probable home victory.
Luton Town vs Bradford City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Luton Town played against Bradford City in EFL League One (England). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Luton Town has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Bradford City has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Luton Town scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.17. Bradford City scores 1.29 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Luton Town's games and 57% of Bradford City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 57%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Luton Town has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.40 per game. Luton Town takes 12.5 shots per game, while Bradford City takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Luton Town leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Bradford City leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Luton Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Bradford City, it is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Luton Town displays significantly better home form with a 53% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +9 in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.47 goals per home game while conceding just 0.87, which translates to a 47% clean sheet rate. Bradford City has weaker away form with only a 29% win rate on the road, a negative goal difference of -5, and a high 36% of matches without a scored goal. Expected goals (xG) statistics also favor the hosts (1.64 vs 1.23), and Luton controls the game better with 56% average possession in home fixtures. The recent form of both teams is mixed, but Luton's home advantage and Bradford's away weaknesses point to a probable home victory.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Luton Town | Bradford City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Luton Town is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Luton Town · 1.2 pts / game - Bradford City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bradford City is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Luton Town · 1.11 goals / game - Bradford City
Luton Town scores in 72% of games (21 of 29 meczów), while Bradford City keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 meczów).
Bradford City scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 meczów), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Luton Town
Over / Under - Bradford City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bradford City is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Luton Town · 1.29 pts / game - Bradford City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Luton Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bradford City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Luton Town
Bradford City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Luton Town | Liga | Bradford City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.48 | 2.54 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Luton Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bradford City. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Luton Town vs Bradford City?
The EFL League One match finished Luton Town 2:1 Bradford City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Bradford City?
Luton Town score 1.31 goals per game on average and Bradford City 1.29. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Luton Town's matches and 57% of Bradford City's.
What form are Luton Town and Bradford City in?
Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Bradford City 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Bradford City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.