England - EFL League OneKenilworth Road StadiumData current as of October 21, 2026

Luton Town vs Leicester City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Luton Town vs Leicester City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Luton Town plays Leicester City in EFL League One (England). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Kenilworth Road Stadium.

Recent form

Luton Town has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Leicester City has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Luton Town scores 1.90 goals per game and allows 1.80. Leicester City scores 1.60 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.84 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 80% of Luton Town's games and 60% of Leicester City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 60%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Leicester City has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.62 per game. Luton Town takes 15.6 shots per game, while Leicester City takes 15.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Luton Town leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. Leicester City leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Luton Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Leicester City, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.84 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.06)
(3.70)
(2.99)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Luton TownLeicester City
1.9Goals scored / game1.6
Luton TownLeicester City
1.8Goals allowed / game1.5
Luton TownLeicester City
55%Average possession68%
Luton TownLeicester City
4.9Shots on target / game5.5
Luton TownLeicester City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.6Shots per game15.9
Luton TownLeicester City
4.9Shots on target5.5
Luton TownLeicester City
12.2%Shot conversion10.1%
Luton TownLeicester City
55%Possession68%
Luton TownLeicester City
1.62xG for1.73
Luton TownLeicester City
1.36xG against1.39
Luton TownLeicester City

Shooting quality

Luton Town: DominantLeicester City: Dominant
Luton TownLeicester City
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Leicester City is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Luton Town · 2 pts / game - Leicester City

Luton Town
LLWLW
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-4
1.40 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Leicester City
WDLWW
Season result split
40% W30% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-3
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DDWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Luton Town is 19% better for: goals scored per game.

1.9 goals / game - Luton Town · 1.6 goals / game - Leicester City

Leicester City is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.8 goals / game - Luton Town · 1.5 goals / game - Leicester City

Luton Town scoring profile: very strong

Luton Town scores in 90% of games (9 of 10 games), while Leicester City keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).

Leicester City scoring profile: very strong

Leicester City scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

19Goals scored (season)16
Luton TownLeicester City
18Goals conceded (season)15
Luton TownLeicester City
3.7Average goals per game3.1
Luton TownLeicester City
8Goals scored (last 5)12
Luton TownLeicester City
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
Luton TownLeicester City

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal80%
Luton TownLeicester City
60%2 goals40%
Luton TownLeicester City
20%3 goals20%
Luton TownLeicester City
20%4 goals20%
Luton TownLeicester City

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal70%
Luton TownLeicester City
50%2 goals40%
Luton TownLeicester City
20%3 goals30%
Luton TownLeicester City
10%4 goals10%
Luton TownLeicester City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time20%
Luton TownLeicester City
10%BTTS in both halves10%
Luton TownLeicester City
30%Scored in both halves30%
Luton TownLeicester City

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Luton TownLeicester City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Luton TownLeicester City
80%BTTS - last 580%
Luton TownLeicester City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Luton TownLeicester City
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Luton TownLeicester City
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time40%
Luton TownLeicester City

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Luton TownLeicester City
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Luton TownLeicester City
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Luton TownLeicester City

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leicester City is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.9 pts / game - Luton Town · 1.7 pts / game - Leicester City

Luton Town - half-time state
20% leading30% draw50% trailing
Leicester City - half-time state
50% leading20% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.9Points per game (1st half)1.7
Luton TownLeicester City
0.7Goals scored (1st half)1
Luton TownLeicester City
1.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Luton TownLeicester City
1.8Average goals (1st half)1.7
Luton TownLeicester City
30%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Luton TownLeicester City
50%No goal before half-time40%
Luton TownLeicester City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per game (2nd half)1.2
Luton TownLeicester City
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Luton TownLeicester City
0.7Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Luton TownLeicester City
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.4
Luton TownLeicester City
40%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Luton TownLeicester City
30%No goal after half-time50%
Luton TownLeicester City

Luton Town - second-half results

30% W60% D10% L
9
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Leicester City - second-half results

20% W60% D20% L
17
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Luton Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Leicester City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.401.60
Goals scored / game1.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game2.21.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Luton Town
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
2
5
31-45
4
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Leicester City
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.40
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
120%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Luton Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Leicester City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Luton TownLigaLeicester City
Average goals per game▲ 3.702.84▲ 3.10
Both teams scored▲ 80%57%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%54%▲ 60%
Clean sheets▼ 10%26%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%67%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%84%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.84
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Luton Town and Leicester City play?

Luton Town face Leicester City on October 24, 2026 in EFL League One at Kenilworth Road Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Leicester City?

Luton Town score 1.90 goals per game on average and Leicester City 1.60. The EFL League One average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Luton Town's matches and 60% of Leicester City's.

What form are Luton Town and Leicester City in?

Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Leicester City 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Leicester City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.