Luton Town vs Stevenage: match statistics
Luton Town presents impressive home form with a 50% win rate and a remarkable 50% clean sheets at home, translating to a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches. The hosts average 1.42 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.83, and their xG (1.62) exceeds that of their rivals (0.9), indicating a qualitative advantage. Stevenage has a decent away record (42% wins), however, the high rate of missed opportunities (42% FTS%) and a negative xG ratio (1.0 to 1.31) are concerning, suggesting problems in chance creation. The recent form of both teams is balanced, but Luton's advantage at their own stadium, better efficiency, and solid defense speak for a home victory. Taking all factors into account, I expect a tight victory for Luton Town, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the defensive solidity of both teams.
Luton Town vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Luton Town played against Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Luton Town has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Stevenage has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Luton Town scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.21. Stevenage scores 1.18 and allows 0.82. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Luton Town's games and 45% of Stevenage's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 32%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Luton Town has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.07 per game. Luton Town takes 12.2 shots per game, while Stevenage takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Luton Town leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Stevenage leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Luton Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Stevenage, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Luton Town presents impressive home form with a 50% win rate and a remarkable 50% clean sheets at home, translating to a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches. The hosts average 1.42 goals per match at home while conceding just 0.83, and their xG (1.62) exceeds that of their rivals (0.9), indicating a qualitative advantage. Stevenage has a decent away record (42% wins), however, the high rate of missed opportunities (42% FTS%) and a negative xG ratio (1.0 to 1.31) are concerning, suggesting problems in chance creation. The recent form of both teams is balanced, but Luton's advantage at their own stadium, better efficiency, and solid defense speak for a home victory. Taking all factors into account, I expect a tight victory for Luton Town, although a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the defensive solidity of both teams.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Luton Town | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Luton Town is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Luton Town · 1.2 pts / game - Stevenage
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luton Town is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Luton Town · 1.18 goals / game - Stevenage
Stevenage is 48% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.21 goals / game - Luton Town · 0.82 goals / game - Stevenage
Luton Town scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 meczów).
Stevenage scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Luton Town
Over / Under - Stevenage
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stevenage is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Luton Town · 1.32 pts / game - Stevenage
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Luton Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Luton Town
Stevenage
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Luton Town | Liga | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.58 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 28% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Luton Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Stevenage. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Luton Town vs Stevenage?
The EFL League One match finished Luton Town 2:1 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Luton Town vs Stevenage?
Luton Town score 1.38 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.18. The EFL League One average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Luton Town's matches and 45% of Stevenage's.
What form are Luton Town and Stevenage in?
Over the last 5 games Luton Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Stevenage 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luton Town vs Stevenage?
The statistical background for Luton Town vs Stevenage — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.