Luzern vs Winterthur: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Luzern play Winterthur in Super League (Switzerland). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 20:30. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Luzern: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Winterthur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Luzern scores 2.00 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Winterthur scores 1.16 and concedes 2.63. League average: 3.29 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Luzern 74%, Winterthur 68%. Over 2.5: Luzern 82%, Winterthur 79%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

Luzern has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.32. Luzern: 14.8 shots per match, Winterthur: 11.8.

Match halves

Luzern: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.21. Winterthur: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Luzern: 76-90+ (20 goals). Winterthur: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

67Possession (%)33
LuzernWinterthur
26Shots10
LuzernWinterthur
7Shots on target5
LuzernWinterthur
2.73xG1.21
LuzernWinterthur
11Corners4
LuzernWinterthur
85Dangerous attacks31
LuzernWinterthur
15Fouls5
LuzernWinterthur
2Cards3
LuzernWinterthur

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2Goals scored / match1.16
LuzernWinterthur
1.74Goals conceded / match2.63
LuzernWinterthur
50%Average possession44%
LuzernWinterthur
4.58Shots on target / match4.08
LuzernWinterthur

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.82Shots per match11.76
LuzernWinterthur
4.58Shots on target4.08
LuzernWinterthur
13.5%Shot conversion9.8%
LuzernWinterthur
50%Possession44%
LuzernWinterthur
1.62xG for1.32
LuzernWinterthur
1.59xG against2.13
LuzernWinterthur

Shooting quality

Luzern: AttackingWinterthur: Balanced
LuzernWinterthur
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Luzern is 225% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Luzern · 0.8 pts / match - Winterthur

Luzern
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
37% W29% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-13
1.39 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-7-7
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.97Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Winterthur
LDWLL
Season result split
13% W21% R66% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-8-25
0.61 pts / match · goal difference -56
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-14
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 2.21BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Luzern is 72% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Luzern · 1.16 goals / match - Winterthur

Luzern is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.74 goals / match - Luzern · 2.63 goals / match - Winterthur

Luzern scoring profile: very strong

Luzern scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 38 matches).

Winterthur scoring profile: very strong

Winterthur scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Luzern keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

76Goals scored (season)44
LuzernWinterthur
66Goals conceded (season)100
LuzernWinterthur
3.74Average goals in match3.79
LuzernWinterthur
12Goals scored (last 5)9
LuzernWinterthur
5Goals conceded (last 5)14
LuzernWinterthur

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal68%
LuzernWinterthur
58%2 goals37%
LuzernWinterthur
32%3 goals8%
LuzernWinterthur
16%4 goals3%
LuzernWinterthur

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal100%
LuzernWinterthur
63%2 goals76%
LuzernWinterthur
21%3 goals47%
LuzernWinterthur
5%4 goals24%
LuzernWinterthur

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

66%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time18%
LuzernWinterthur
8%BTTS in both halves5%
LuzernWinterthur
34%Scored in both halves24%
LuzernWinterthur

BTTS and goal count

68%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
LuzernWinterthur
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
LuzernWinterthur
60%BTTS - last 580%
LuzernWinterthur

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
LuzernWinterthur
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
LuzernWinterthur
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
LuzernWinterthur

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time95%
LuzernWinterthur
76%Min. 2 goals after half-time66%
LuzernWinterthur
47%Min. 3 goals after half-time32%
LuzernWinterthur

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Luzern is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.34 pts / match - Luzern · 1.03 pts / match - Winterthur

Luzern - half-time state
32% leading39% draw29% trailing
Winterthur - half-time state
26% leading24% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.34Points per match (1st half)1.03
LuzernWinterthur
0.79Goals scored (1st half)0.53
LuzernWinterthur
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)1.08
LuzernWinterthur
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.61
LuzernWinterthur
55%Clean sheet before half-time39%
LuzernWinterthur
45%No goal before half-time58%
LuzernWinterthur

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)0.63
LuzernWinterthur
1.21Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
LuzernWinterthur
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)1.55
LuzernWinterthur
2.24Average goals (2nd half)2.18
LuzernWinterthur
37%Clean sheet after half-time13%
LuzernWinterthur
32%No goal after half-time50%
LuzernWinterthur

Luzern - second-half results

39% W24% R37% P
51
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding116%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Winterthur - second-half results

13% W24% R63% P
39
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-21
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
-35
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Luzern - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.803.00
Goals scored / match0.22.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.02.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-3+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Winterthur - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.8
Average goals in match2.22.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+1-6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Luzern
ScoredConceded
13
4
0-15
9
6
16-30
8
17
31-45
8
16
46-60
18
12
61-75
20
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Winterthur
ScoredConceded
6
11
0-15
5
17
16-30
9
13
31-45
7
14
46-60
10
22
61-75
7
23
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -16 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Luzern

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Winterthur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.81
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

LuzernLigaWinterthur
Average goals in match 3.743.29 3.79
Both teams scored 74%66% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 82%67% 79%
Clean sheets 18%19% 0%
Goal before half-time 76%76% 84%
Goal after half-time 87%85% 95%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.29
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Luzern 1 - 1 - 1 Winterthur. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Luzern vs Winterthur?

The Super League match finished Luzern 1:3 Winterthur. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Luzern and Winterthur?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Luzern won 1, Winterthur won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Luzern vs Winterthur?

Luzern score 2.00 goals per game on average and Winterthur 1.16. The Super League average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Luzern's matches and 68% of Winterthur's.

What form are Luzern and Winterthur in?

Over the last 5 games Luzern have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Winterthur 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Luzern vs Winterthur?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Luzern vs Winterthur: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.