Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva: match statistics

Maccabi Haifa are showing clearly better current form: they have collected 10 points from their last five matches, with 3 wins and a draw, while Hapoel Petah Tikva have lost 4 of their last 5 games and earned just 3 points. At home, the hosts average 2 goals, create chances worth 1.96 xG and register as many as 19 shots per match, which should put significant pressure on the visitors’ defense. Away from home, the visitors have yet to score, have failed to find the net in 100% of such fixtures and average only 3 shots on target. Although Hapoel Petah Tikva average 65% possession and generate 1.77 xG, their lack of goals highlights a serious problem with finishing. Maccabi Haifa also hold the advantage in the recent head-to-head scoring trend, netting 9 goals in their last five matches compared with the visitors’ 2, making a home win the most likely outcome.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Hapoel Petah Tikva’s poor attacking efficiency: they have averaged just 0.4 goals in their last 5 matches, and in 80% of those fixtures, both teams did not score. In the current away data, Hapoel are averaging 0.0 goals scored, have recorded 0% of matches with both teams scoring, and have failed to score in 100% of their games. Maccabi Haifa have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their home matches so far, which clearly strengthens the scenario in which the visitors fail to score again. The hosts are the favorites to find the net, as Hapoel concede an average of 1.0 goals away from home, while Haifa have produced an xG of 1.83 and scored an average of 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches. Although Hapoel’s latest xG stands at 1.27, their actual tally of two goals in five matches suggests that the outcome in which at least one team fails to score is more likely.

Maccabi Haifa have averaged 1.8 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Hapoel Petah Tikva have managed just 0.4, clearly limiting the visitors’ potential to contribute to the scoreline. During this period, the hosts created chances worth 1.83 xG per match, while opponents averaged 1.59 xG allowed, making an expected contribution of around 1.7 goals for Maccabi the most realistic projection. On the other hand, Hapoel recorded 1.27 xG, but Maccabi’s defense allowed opponents just 1.09 xG, supporting a forecast of approximately 0.8 goals for the visitors. In their last five matches, games featuring at least 3 goals occurred in 60% of Maccabi’s fixtures, but in only 20% of Hapoel’s, while both teams recorded 100% of results below 3.5 goals in the available seasonal matches. The expected total of 2.50 goals gives the strongest edge to Under 3.5 goals, as a four-goal scenario would require significantly improved finishing from the low-scoring visitors.

Maccabi Haifa are showing clearly superior form: they average 1.8 goals and win 60% of their matches over their last five outings, while Hapoel Petah Tikva score just 0.4 goals and lose 80% of their games. The hosts held a lead at the break in 40% of their five most recent appearances and averaged 0.8 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.2 for the visitors. Across the available season sample, Haifa won their match 1–0 after leading at half-time, whereas Petah Tikva lost 0–1 without scoring. After the interval, the hosts maintain their advantage, averaging 1.0 goals in their last five matches, while their opponents concede an average of 1.2 goals in this period. Although the visitors’ xG stands at 1.77 compared with Haifa’s 0.84, their failure to score in the current data and three second-half defeats in their last five matches support the hosts holding on to their lead.