Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus: match statistics
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Machida Zelvia play Nagoya Grampus in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 30 November 2025 at 06:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Machida Zelvia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nagoya Grampus: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Machida Zelvia scores 1.37 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Nagoya Grampus scores 1.16 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Machida Zelvia 42%, Nagoya Grampus 61%. Over 2.5: Machida Zelvia 50%, Nagoya Grampus 61%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Machida Zelvia has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.28. Machida Zelvia: 12.2 shots per match, Nagoya Grampus: 11.6.
Match halves
Machida Zelvia: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.71. Nagoya Grampus: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Machida Zelvia: 76-90+ (14 goals). Nagoya Grampus: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Machida Zelvia is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Machida Zelvia · 0.8 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Machida Zelvia is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Machida Zelvia · 1.16 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Machida Zelvia · 1.47 goals / match - Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Nagoya Grampus scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Machida Zelvia keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Machida Zelvia
Over / Under — Nagoya Grampus
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Machida Zelvia is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / match - Machida Zelvia · 1.13 pts / match - Nagoya Grampus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Machida Zelvia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nagoya Grampus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Machida Zelvia | Liga | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.37 | 2.40 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Machida Zelvia 1 - 0 - 0 Nagoya Grampus. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
The J1 League match finished Machida Zelvia 3:1 Nagoya Grampus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
Machida Zelvia score 1.37 goals per game on average and Nagoya Grampus 1.16. The J1 League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Machida Zelvia's matches and 61% of Nagoya Grampus's.
What form are Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus in?
Over the last 5 games Machida Zelvia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nagoya Grampus 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.