Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus: match statistics
Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Machida Zelvia played against Nagoya Grampus in J1 League (Japan). The game was played on November 30, 2025. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Machida Zelvia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Nagoya Grampus has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Machida Zelvia scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.00. Nagoya Grampus scores 1.17 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Machida Zelvia's games and 61% of Nagoya Grampus's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 61%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Machida Zelvia has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.27 per game. Machida Zelvia takes 12.3 shots per game, while Nagoya Grampus takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Machida Zelvia leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Nagoya Grampus leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Machida Zelvia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Nagoya Grampus, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
J1 League games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Stats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Machida Zelvia | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Machida Zelvia is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Machida Zelvia · 0.8 pts / game - Nagoya Grampus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Machida Zelvia is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.36 goals / game - Machida Zelvia · 1.17 goals / game - Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Machida Zelvia · 1.47 goals / game - Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia scores in 72% of games (26 of 36 meczów), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 36 meczów).
Nagoya Grampus scores in 72% of games (26 of 36 meczów), while Machida Zelvia keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Machida Zelvia
Over / Under - Nagoya Grampus
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Machida Zelvia is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / game - Machida Zelvia · 1.17 pts / game - Nagoya Grampus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Machida Zelvia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nagoya Grampus - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Machida Zelvia | Liga | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.36 | 2.40 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 31% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Machida Zelvia's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nagoya Grampus. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
The J1 League match finished Machida Zelvia 3:1 Nagoya Grampus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
Machida Zelvia score 1.36 goals per game on average and Nagoya Grampus 1.17. The J1 League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Machida Zelvia's matches and 61% of Nagoya Grampus's.
What form are Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus in?
Over the last 5 games Machida Zelvia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nagoya Grampus 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


