Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Machida Zelvia played against Nagoya Grampus in J1 League (Japan). The game was played on November 30, 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Machida Zelvia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Nagoya Grampus has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Machida Zelvia scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.00. Nagoya Grampus scores 1.17 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 42% of Machida Zelvia's games and 61% of Nagoya Grampus's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 61%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Machida Zelvia has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.27 per game. Machida Zelvia takes 12.3 shots per game, while Nagoya Grampus takes 11.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Machida Zelvia leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Nagoya Grampus leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.72 after halftime.

When the teams score

Machida Zelvia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Nagoya Grampus, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

J1 League games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
2 : 1
Second half

Game stats

38Possession (%)62
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
10Shots18
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
6Shots on target3
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
1.18xG1.59
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
3Corners4
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
18Dangerous attacks35
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
17Fouls4
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
3Cards1
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
1.36Goals scored / game1.17
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
1Goals allowed / game1.47
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
45%Average possession47%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
3.89Shots on target / game3.58
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.28Shots per game11.42
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
3.89Shots on target3.58
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
11.1%Shot conversion10.2%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
45%Possession47%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
1.4xG for1.27
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
1.18xG against1.36
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

Shooting quality

Machida Zelvia: BalancedNagoya Grampus: Balanced
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Machida Zelvia is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Machida Zelvia · 0.8 pts / game - Nagoya Grampus

Machida Zelvia
WLDDL
Season result split
44% W25% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-9-11
1.58 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-7
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Nagoya Grampus
LWDLL
Season result split
28% W28% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-16
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-10
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Machida Zelvia is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1.36 goals / game - Machida Zelvia · 1.17 goals / game - Nagoya Grampus

Machida Zelvia is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Machida Zelvia · 1.47 goals / game - Nagoya Grampus

Machida Zelvia scoring profile: very strong

Machida Zelvia scores in 72% of games (26 of 36 meczów), while Nagoya Grampus keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 36 meczów).

Nagoya Grampus scoring profile: strong

Nagoya Grampus scores in 72% of games (26 of 36 meczów), while Machida Zelvia keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 meczów).

49Goals scored (season)42
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
36Goals conceded (season)53
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
2.36Average goals per game2.64
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
2Goals scored (last 5)4
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
3Goals conceded (last 5)10
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal72%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
44%2 goals33%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
17%3 goals11%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
3%4 goals0%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal81%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
28%2 goals44%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
6%3 goals14%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
3%4 goals8%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time11%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
8%BTTS in both halves3%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
28%Scored in both halves11%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
20%BTTS - last 540%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

2nd half

72%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Machida Zelvia is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.64 pts / game - Machida Zelvia · 1.17 pts / game - Nagoya Grampus

Machida Zelvia - half-time state
39% leading47% draw14% trailing
Nagoya Grampus - half-time state
19% leading58% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.64Points per game (1st half)1.17
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.44
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
1Average goals (1st half)0.92
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
75%Clean sheet before half-time69%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
50%No goal before half-time69%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

After half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points per game (2nd half)1.06
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.72
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
50%Clean sheet after half-time31%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
50%No goal after half-time47%
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus

Machida Zelvia - second-half results

31% W39% D31% L
59
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nagoya Grampus - second-half results

25% W31% D44% L
42
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Machida Zelvia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game0.01.0
1 goal0%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Nagoya Grampus - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.60
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.61.4
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Machida Zelvia
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
8
7
16-30
10
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
7
8
61-75
14
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Nagoya Grampus
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
5
3
16-30
10
9
31-45
8
7
46-60
7
9
61-75
11
20
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Machida Zelvia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Nagoya Grampus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 2% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

Machida ZelviaLigaNagoya Grampus
Average goals per game 2.362.40 2.64
Both teams scored 42%47% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%44% 61%
Clean sheets 39%31% 19%
Goal before half-time 64%60% 50%
Goal after half-time 72%75% 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Machida ZelviaGoalMitchell DukeAssist: Ibrahim Drešević
  2. Nagoya GrampusYellow cardYuki Nogami
  3. Machida ZelviaYellow cardHotaka Nakamura
  4. Nagoya GrampusSubstitutionOn: Masahito OnoOff: Ryuji Izumi
  5. Machida ZelviaGoalHotaka NakamuraAssist: Mitchell Duke
  6. Machida ZelviaYellow cardMitchell Duke
  7. Nagoya GrampusGoalSho Inagaki
  8. Nagoya GrampusSubstitutionOn: Yudai KimuraOff: Kensuke Nagai
  9. Machida ZelviaGoalGen ShōjiAssist: Keiya Sento
  10. Nagoya GrampusSubstitutionOn: Shungo SugiuraOff: Kasper Junker
  11. Machida ZelviaSubstitutionOn: Daihachi OkamuraOff: Kotaro Hayashi
  12. Machida ZelviaSubstitutionOn: Neta LaviOff: Hokuto Shimoda
  13. Nagoya GrampusSubstitutionOn: Haruto SuzukiOff: Yuki Nogami
  14. Machida ZelviaSubstitutionOn: Takuma NishimuraOff: Yuki Soma
  15. Machida ZelviaYellow cardIbrahim Drešević

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Machida Zelvia's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nagoya Grampus. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Nagoya Grampus
1 : 2
FC Machida Zelvia

FAQ

What was the result of Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?

The J1 League match finished Machida Zelvia 3:1 Nagoya Grampus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?

Machida Zelvia score 1.36 goals per game on average and Nagoya Grampus 1.17. The J1 League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Machida Zelvia's matches and 61% of Nagoya Grampus's.

What form are Machida Zelvia and Nagoya Grampus in?

Over the last 5 games Machida Zelvia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nagoya Grampus 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.