Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced confrontation heavily favoring a draw scenario. Madura United display average home form with a 29% win rate and an average of 1.43 goals per game, reflecting their 13th position in the table. Persebaya Surabaya are characterized by remarkable defensive solidity on the road—recording a 71% draw rate in away matches and conceding an average of just 0.71 goals, which is a very strong record. The recent form of both teams is identical (1.4 points per game in the last 5 matches), and the goal difference for both the hosts at home (0) and the visitors away (0) further confirms the parity. Given Persebaya's defensive style on their travels and Madura's average efficacy in front of their home crowd, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Madura United played against Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Madura United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Persebaya Surabaya has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Madura United scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 1.33. Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.40 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Madura United's games and 60% of Persebaya Surabaya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 33%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Persebaya Surabaya has the higher season xG average, 1.27 to 1.25 per game. Madura United takes 10.3 shots per game, while Persebaya Surabaya takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Madura United leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Persebaya Surabaya leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.87 after halftime.
When the teams score
Madura United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Persebaya Surabaya, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 1 games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced confrontation heavily favoring a draw scenario. Madura United display average home form with a 29% win rate and an average of 1.43 goals per game, reflecting their 13th position in the table. Persebaya Surabaya are characterized by remarkable defensive solidity on the road—recording a 71% draw rate in away matches and conceding an average of just 0.71 goals, which is a very strong record. The recent form of both teams is identical (1.4 points per game in the last 5 matches), and the goal difference for both the hosts at home (0) and the visitors away (0) further confirms the parity. Given Persebaya's defensive style on their travels and Madura's average efficacy in front of their home crowd, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Madura United | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persebaya Surabaya is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.2 goals / game - Madura United · 1.4 goals / game - Persebaya Surabaya
Persebaya Surabaya is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Madura United · 1 goals / game - Persebaya Surabaya
Madura United scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).
Persebaya Surabaya scores in 80% of games (12 of 15 meczów), while Madura United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Madura United
Over / Under - Persebaya Surabaya
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Madura United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Madura United
Persebaya Surabaya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Madura United | Liga | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.53 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The Liga 1 match finished Madura United 0:1 Persebaya Surabaya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Madura United score 1.20 goals per game on average and Persebaya Surabaya 1.40. The Liga 1 average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Madura United's matches and 60% of Persebaya Surabaya's.
What form are Madura United and Persebaya Surabaya in?
Over the last 5 games Madura United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Persebaya Surabaya 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Madura United vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.