Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim: match statistics
Despite a poor table position, Mainz 05 has recently shown improved form with four draws and one win in their last five matches, remaining unbeaten. Heidenheim is exceptionally weak on the road with an 86% loss rate, failing to record a single draw or keep a clean sheet. The hosts have a better xG balance in home games (1.4 vs 1.36) compared to Heidenheim's away xG (1.18 vs 1.84), suggesting greater offensive efficiency for Mainz. Although both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, Mainz's significant advantage in form and Heidenheim's disastrous away disposition point towards a home victory. However, Mainz's high percentage of home draws (38%) and the unpredictability of matches in the relegation zone also justify a significant probability of splitting the points.
Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mainz 05 played against Heidenheim in Bundesliga (Germany). The game was played on January 13, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Mainz 05 has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Heidenheim has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Mainz 05 scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.75. Heidenheim scores 0.94 and allows 2.25. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Mainz 05's games and 63% of Heidenheim's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 75%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Heidenheim has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.24 per game. Mainz 05 takes 10.7 shots per game, while Heidenheim takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mainz 05 leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Heidenheim leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mainz 05's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Heidenheim, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Despite a poor table position, Mainz 05 has recently shown improved form with four draws and one win in their last five matches, remaining unbeaten. Heidenheim is exceptionally weak on the road with an 86% loss rate, failing to record a single draw or keep a clean sheet. The hosts have a better xG balance in home games (1.4 vs 1.36) compared to Heidenheim's away xG (1.18 vs 1.84), suggesting greater offensive efficiency for Mainz. Although both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, Mainz's significant advantage in form and Heidenheim's disastrous away disposition point towards a home victory. However, Mainz's high percentage of home draws (38%) and the unpredictability of matches in the relegation zone also justify a significant probability of splitting the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mainz 05 | Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Heidenheim is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Mainz 05 · 1.4 pts / game - Heidenheim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mainz 05 is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - Mainz 05 · 2.25 goals / game - Heidenheim
Mainz 05 scores in 50% of games (8 of 16 meczów), while Heidenheim keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 16 meczów).
Heidenheim scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 meczów), while Mainz 05 keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mainz 05
Over / Under - Heidenheim
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mainz 05 is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / game - Mainz 05 · 0.69 pts / game - Heidenheim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mainz 05 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 6%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Heidenheim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mainz 05
Heidenheim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Mainz 05 | Liga | Heidenheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.69 | 3.26 | • 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 82% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim?
The Bundesliga match finished Mainz 05 2:1 Heidenheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim?
Mainz 05 score 0.94 goals per game on average and Heidenheim 0.94. The Bundesliga average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mainz 05's matches and 63% of Heidenheim's.
What form are Mainz 05 and Heidenheim in?
Over the last 5 games Mainz 05 have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Heidenheim 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim?
The statistical background for Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.