Manchester City vs Aston Villa: match statistics
Manchester City vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Manchester City play Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Etihad Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Manchester City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Aston Villa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Manchester City scores 2.03 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Aston Villa scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Manchester City 50%, Aston Villa 58%. Over 2.5: Manchester City 63%, Aston Villa 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester City has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.47. Manchester City: 15.6 shots per match, Aston Villa: 12.7.
Match halves
Manchester City: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.95. Aston Villa: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Manchester City: 31-45+ (22 goals). Aston Villa: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Manchester City are the clear favorites: at home they average 2.44 goals per match with an xG of 1.95, while Aston Villa average 1.22 goals and xG 1.35 away, giving the hosts an advantage in both quality and quantity of created chances. City average 16.39 shots and 6.28 shots on target per home match versus Villa’s 11.67 shots and 4.06 shots on target away, with shot conversion rates of 15% compared to 10% for the visitors. Defensively the hosts concede 0.67 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 50% of games, whereas Villa concede 1.44 goals away and register only 17% clean sheets. Recent form is similar (City 2.2 points on average in the last 5 matches, Villa 2.0), with Villa scoring 14 goals in their last 5 matches versus City’s 11, but the visitors have failed to score in 33% of their away matches. Considering City’s 78% home win rate versus Villa’s 33% away win rate, together with superiority in xG, shots and efficiency, I forecast a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Manchester City | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester City is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Manchester City · 1.4 pts / match - Aston Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
2.03 goals / match - Manchester City · 1.47 goals / match - Aston Villa
Manchester City is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Manchester City · 1.29 goals / match - Aston Villa
Manchester City scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Aston Villa scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Manchester City
Over / Under — Aston Villa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.18 pts / match - Manchester City · 1.21 pts / match - Aston Villa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 61%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (22 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Manchester City
Aston Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Manchester City | Liga | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.95 | 2.75 | • 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Manchester City 0 - 0 - 1 Aston Villa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Manchester City vs Aston Villa?
The Premier League match finished Manchester City 1:2 Aston Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Manchester City vs Aston Villa?
Manchester City score 2.03 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.47. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Manchester City's matches and 58% of Aston Villa's.
What form are Manchester City and Aston Villa in?
Over the last 5 games Manchester City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Aston Villa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester City vs Aston Villa?
The statistical background for Manchester City vs Aston Villa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.