Manchester City vs Newcastle United: match statistics
Manchester City are in significantly better form, having won 4 out of their last 5 matches with just 4 goals conceded. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 77% win rate, averaging 2.46 goals per game while conceding just 0.62 goals. Newcastle United have been struggling away from home, winning only 23% of their away matches and failing to score in 46% of those games. The difference in quality is also evident in the xG statistics, where City hold an advantage of 1.86 to 1.46, and their shooting efficiency (16% conversion rate) is twice as high as that of the visitors (8%). The goal difference of both teams (+24 for City in home matches vs -4 for Newcastle away) further confirms the hosts' superiority. Taking all parameters into account, Manchester City are the clear favorites for this encounter.
Manchester City vs Newcastle United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Manchester City played against Newcastle United in Premier League (England). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Manchester City has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Newcastle United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Manchester City scores 2.08 goals per game and allows 0.92. Newcastle United scores 1.42 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Manchester City's games and 62% of Newcastle United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 62%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Manchester City has the higher season xG average, 1.67 to 1.58 per game. Manchester City takes 14.2 shots per game, while Newcastle United takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Manchester City leads at halftime in 65% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Newcastle United leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Manchester City's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (16 goals). For Newcastle United, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Manchester City are in significantly better form, having won 4 out of their last 5 matches with just 4 goals conceded. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 77% win rate, averaging 2.46 goals per game while conceding just 0.62 goals. Newcastle United have been struggling away from home, winning only 23% of their away matches and failing to score in 46% of those games. The difference in quality is also evident in the xG statistics, where City hold an advantage of 1.86 to 1.46, and their shooting efficiency (16% conversion rate) is twice as high as that of the visitors (8%). The goal difference of both teams (+24 for City in home matches vs -4 for Newcastle away) further confirms the hosts' superiority. Taking all parameters into account, Manchester City are the clear favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Manchester City | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Manchester City is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Manchester City · 0.8 pts / game - Newcastle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 46% better for: goals scored per game.
2.08 goals / game - Manchester City · 1.42 goals / game - Newcastle United
Manchester City is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.92 goals / game - Manchester City · 1.42 goals / game - Newcastle United
Manchester City scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 meczów), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
Newcastle United scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 42% (11 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Manchester City
Over / Under - Newcastle United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.23 pts / game - Manchester City · 1.38 pts / game - Newcastle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 65% of games and wins 62%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Newcastle United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Manchester City
Newcastle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Manchester City | Liga | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.76 | • 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Manchester City's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Newcastle United. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Manchester City vs Newcastle United?
The Premier League match finished Manchester City 2:1 Newcastle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Manchester City vs Newcastle United?
Manchester City score 2.08 goals per game on average and Newcastle United 1.42. The Premier League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Manchester City's matches and 62% of Newcastle United's.
What form are Manchester City and Newcastle United in?
Over the last 5 games Manchester City have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Newcastle United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester City vs Newcastle United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Manchester City vs Newcastle United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.