Manchester United vs Aston Villa: match statistics
Manchester United presents solid home form with a 64% win rate and a positive goal difference of +11 at their own stadium. The hosts have picked up 2 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Aston Villa is experiencing a clear crisis with merely 0.8 points per game and only one victory in their last five outings. Villa has poor goal-scoring efficiency on the road (1.29 goals/game) and as many as 36% of their matches end without a goal scored, representing a significant weakness. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-1) and the hosts' expected goals advantage (1.99 xG vs 1.35 xG) further support a Manchester United victory. Aston Villa's recent away form (lddwl in their last 5 away games) implies difficulties in securing points away from home, making the hosts clear favorites for this fixture.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Manchester United played against Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Manchester United has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Aston Villa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Manchester United scores 1.76 goals per game and allows 1.38. Aston Villa scores 1.34 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 72% of Manchester United's games and 52% of Aston Villa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 48%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Manchester United has the higher season xG average, 1.78 to 1.47 per game. Manchester United takes 15.9 shots per game, while Aston Villa takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Manchester United leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.03 goals per game after halftime. Aston Villa leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Manchester United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Aston Villa, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Manchester United presents solid home form with a 64% win rate and a positive goal difference of +11 at their own stadium. The hosts have picked up 2 points per game in their last 5 matches, while Aston Villa is experiencing a clear crisis with merely 0.8 points per game and only one victory in their last five outings. Villa has poor goal-scoring efficiency on the road (1.29 goals/game) and as many as 36% of their matches end without a goal scored, representing a significant weakness. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-1) and the hosts' expected goals advantage (1.99 xG vs 1.35 xG) further support a Manchester United victory. Aston Villa's recent away form (lddwl in their last 5 away games) implies difficulties in securing points away from home, making the hosts clear favorites for this fixture.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Manchester United | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Manchester United is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Manchester United · 1 pts / game - Aston Villa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester United is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
1.76 goals / game - Manchester United · 1.34 goals / game - Aston Villa
Aston Villa is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Manchester United · 1.17 goals / game - Aston Villa
Manchester United scores in 90% of games (26 of 29 meczów), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 meczów).
Aston Villa scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 meczów), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Manchester United
Over / Under - Aston Villa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester United is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - Manchester United · 1.17 pts / game - Aston Villa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Manchester United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Manchester United
Aston Villa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Manchester United | Liga | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.14 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Manchester United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Aston Villa. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
The Premier League match finished Manchester United 3:1 Aston Villa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Manchester United score 1.76 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.34. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Manchester United's matches and 52% of Aston Villa's.
What form are Manchester United and Aston Villa in?
Over the last 5 games Manchester United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Aston Villa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.