Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest: match statistics
Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Manchester United play Nottingham Forest in Premier League (England). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Manchester United: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Nottingham Forest: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Manchester United scores 1.82 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Nottingham Forest scores 1.26 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Manchester United 71%, Nottingham Forest 47%. Over 2.5: Manchester United 63%, Nottingham Forest 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester United has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.44. Manchester United: 15.7 shots per match, Nottingham Forest: 12.5.
Match halves
Manchester United: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.05. Nottingham Forest: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Manchester United: 76-90+ (16 goals). Nottingham Forest: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I tip 1 — Manchester United to win. The hosts have won 67% of their home matches and average 2.00 goals per home game, while Nottingham Forest as visitors average 1.44 goals and only 39% away wins. United create better chances: home xG is 1.95 versus Forest’s 1.22 xG on the road, and shots on target are 6.78 for United vs 4.22 for the visitors. Defensively Manchester concedes 1.22 goals at home on average, while Forest concedes 1.39 away; additionally Forest fail to score in 28% of away matches compared to 11% of United’s home games, which increases the hosts’ chances. Although Forest have scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches versus United’s 7 and both teams have 3 wins in their last 5 (averaging 2 points per game), Manchester’s superiority in chance creation and game control at Old Trafford gives them a higher probability of victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Manchester United | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester United is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Manchester United · 1.6 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester United is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Manchester United · 1.26 goals / match - Nottingham Forest
Manchester United scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).
Nottingham Forest scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Manchester United
Over / Under — Nottingham Forest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester United is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Manchester United · 1 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Manchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Manchester United | Liga | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Manchester United 0 - 1 - 0 Nottingham Forest. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
The Premier League match finished Manchester United 3:2 Nottingham Forest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
Manchester United score 1.82 goals per game on average and Nottingham Forest 1.26. The Premier League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Manchester United's matches and 47% of Nottingham Forest's.
What form are Manchester United and Nottingham Forest in?
Over the last 5 games Manchester United have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Nottingham Forest 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.