Mantova vs Bari 1908: match statistics
Mantova shows better offensive form at home, averaging 1.27 goals per game with a high xG of 1.79, indicating untapped scoring potential. Bari 1908 has serious attacking problems away, scoring only 0.64 goals on average per match with a poor xG of 1.0 and as many as 55% of matches without a goal. Mantova enjoys significantly better ball possession (63% vs 51%) and a higher number of shots on target (5.82 vs 2.09), giving them an advantage in creating chances. Although both teams are in the bottom part of the table with a similar loss rate (55%), the hosts have a better recent points record (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Considering Mantova's home advantage and Bari's offensive weakness away, I expect a slight edge for the hosts, although the low efficiency rates of both teams leave room for a draw.
Mantova vs Bari 1908: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mantova played against Bari 1908 in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Mantova has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Bari 1908 has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mantova scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.64. Bari 1908 scores 0.82 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Mantova's games and 55% of Bari 1908's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 45%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mantova has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.09 per game. Mantova takes 14.4 shots per game, while Bari 1908 takes 10.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Mantova leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Bari 1908 leads at halftime in 5% and scores 0.45 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mantova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Bari 1908, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mantova shows better offensive form at home, averaging 1.27 goals per game with a high xG of 1.79, indicating untapped scoring potential. Bari 1908 has serious attacking problems away, scoring only 0.64 goals on average per match with a poor xG of 1.0 and as many as 55% of matches without a goal. Mantova enjoys significantly better ball possession (63% vs 51%) and a higher number of shots on target (5.82 vs 2.09), giving them an advantage in creating chances. Although both teams are in the bottom part of the table with a similar loss rate (55%), the hosts have a better recent points record (1.2 PPG vs 0.8 PPG). Considering Mantova's home advantage and Bari's offensive weakness away, I expect a slight edge for the hosts, although the low efficiency rates of both teams leave room for a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mantova is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Mantova · 0.8 pts / game - Bari 1908
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mantova is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Mantova · 0.82 goals / game - Bari 1908
Bari 1908 is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.64 goals / game - Mantova · 1.55 goals / game - Bari 1908
Mantova scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
Bari 1908 scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mantova
Over / Under - Bari 1908
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mantova is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Mantova · 0.77 pts / game - Bari 1908
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bari 1908 - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 18%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mantova
Bari 1908
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Bari 1908 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.64 | 2.45 | • 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mantova's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bari 1908. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Bari 1908?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 2:1 Bari 1908. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Bari 1908?
Mantova score 1.00 goals per game on average and Bari 1908 0.82. The Serie B average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Mantova's matches and 55% of Bari 1908's.
What form are Mantova and Bari 1908 in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Bari 1908 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Bari 1908?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.