Italy - Serie BData current as of October 23, 2026

Mantova vs Cremonese: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Mantova vs Cremonese: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mantova plays Cremonese in Serie B (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 27, 2026.

Recent form

Mantova has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Cremonese has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Mantova scores 1.86 goals per game and allows 1.14. Cremonese scores 0.86 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Mantova's games and 43% of Cremonese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 57%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mantova has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.28 per game. Mantova takes 13.1 shots per game, while Cremonese takes 10.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Mantova leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.14 goals per game after halftime. Cremonese leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.43 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mantova's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Cremonese, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.43)
(3.30)
(2.75)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.86Goals scored / game0.86
MantovaCremonese
1.14Goals allowed / game1.43
MantovaCremonese
50%Average possession53%
MantovaCremonese
5.29Shots on target / game3.71
MantovaCremonese

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.14Shots per game10.86
MantovaCremonese
5.29Shots on target3.71
MantovaCremonese
14.1%Shot conversion7.9%
MantovaCremonese
50%Possession53%
MantovaCremonese
1.48xG for1.28
MantovaCremonese
1.38xG against1.32
MantovaCremonese

Shooting quality

Mantova: Efficient finishingCremonese: Balanced
MantovaCremonese
Accuracy (shots on target)40%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mantova is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Mantova · 1.2 pts / game - Cremonese

Mantova
DWDWL
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Cremonese
WDDDL
Season result split
14% W43% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-3
0.86 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
LDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mantova is 116% better for: goals scored per game.

1.86 goals / game - Mantova · 0.86 goals / game - Cremonese

Mantova is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.14 goals / game - Mantova · 1.43 goals / game - Cremonese

Mantova scoring profile: very strong

Mantova scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).

Cremonese scoring profile: strong

Cremonese scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 games), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

13Goals scored (season)6
MantovaCremonese
8Goals conceded (season)10
MantovaCremonese
3Average goals per game2.29
MantovaCremonese
8Goals scored (last 5)6
MantovaCremonese
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
MantovaCremonese

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal43%
MantovaCremonese
71%2 goals29%
MantovaCremonese
29%3 goals14%
MantovaCremonese
0%4 goals0%
MantovaCremonese

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal71%
MantovaCremonese
29%2 goals43%
MantovaCremonese
0%3 goals29%
MantovaCremonese
0%4 goals0%
MantovaCremonese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
MantovaCremonese
14%BTTS in both halves0%
MantovaCremonese
43%Scored in both halves14%
MantovaCremonese

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
MantovaCremonese
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
MantovaCremonese
60%BTTS - last 560%
MantovaCremonese

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
MantovaCremonese
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
MantovaCremonese
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
MantovaCremonese

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
MantovaCremonese
86%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
MantovaCremonese
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
MantovaCremonese

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mantova is 116% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.86 pts / game - Mantova · 0.86 pts / game - Cremonese

Mantova - half-time state
43% leading57% draw0% trailing
Cremonese - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.86Points per game (1st half)0.86
MantovaCremonese
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.43
MantovaCremonese
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
MantovaCremonese
0.86Average goals (1st half)1.29
MantovaCremonese
86%Clean sheet before half-time29%
MantovaCremonese
43%No goal before half-time71%
MantovaCremonese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)1.29
MantovaCremonese
1.14Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
MantovaCremonese
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
MantovaCremonese
2.14Average goals (2nd half)1
MantovaCremonese
14%Clean sheet after half-time57%
MantovaCremonese
29%No goal after half-time71%
MantovaCremonese

Mantova - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.9

Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cremonese - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mantova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.00
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Cremonese - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.60
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.21.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mantova
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Cremonese
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mantova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Cremonese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

MantovaLigaCremonese
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.73▼ 2.29
Both teams scored▲ 71%64%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 57%56%• 57%
Clean sheets▼ 14%20%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%66%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%86%▼ 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Mantova and Cremonese play?

Mantova face Cremonese on October 27, 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Cremonese?

Mantova score 1.86 goals per game on average and Cremonese 0.86. The Serie B average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Mantova's matches and 43% of Cremonese's.

What form are Mantova and Cremonese in?

Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cremonese 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Cremonese?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.