Italy - Serie BStadio Danilo MartelliData current as of November 03, 2026

Mantova vs Hellas Verona: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Mantova vs Hellas Verona: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mantova plays Hellas Verona in Serie B (Italy). The game is scheduled for November 7, 2026. Venue: Stadio Danilo Martelli.

Recent form

Mantova has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Hellas Verona has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Mantova scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.10. Hellas Verona scores 1.90 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Mantova's games and 70% of Hellas Verona's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 70%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Hellas Verona has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.52 per game. Mantova takes 13.1 shots per game, while Hellas Verona takes 15.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Mantova leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.90 goals per game after halftime. Hellas Verona leads at halftime in 30% and scores 1.10 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mantova's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Hellas Verona, it is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.44)
(3.50)
(2.64)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

MantovaHellas Verona
1.5Goals scored / game1.9
MantovaHellas Verona
1.1Goals allowed / game1.3
MantovaHellas Verona
52%Average possession52%
MantovaHellas Verona
5.2Shots on target / game5.3
MantovaHellas Verona

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.1Shots per game15.7
MantovaHellas Verona
5.2Shots on target5.3
MantovaHellas Verona
11.5%Shot conversion12.1%
MantovaHellas Verona
52%Possession52%
MantovaHellas Verona
1.52xG for1.7
MantovaHellas Verona
1.29xG against1.31
MantovaHellas Verona

Shooting quality

Mantova: BalancedHellas Verona: Attacking
MantovaHellas Verona
Accuracy (shots on target)40%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Hellas Verona is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Mantova · 1.6 pts / game - Hellas Verona

Mantova
WLWLD
Season result split
50% W30% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-2
1.80 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Hellas Verona
LDDWW
Season result split
40% W30% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-3
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
DLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hellas Verona is 27% better for: goals scored per game.

1.5 goals / game - Mantova · 1.9 goals / game - Hellas Verona

Mantova is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.1 goals / game - Mantova · 1.3 goals / game - Hellas Verona

Mantova scoring profile: very strong

Mantova scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Hellas Verona keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).

Hellas Verona scoring profile: very strong

Hellas Verona scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

15Goals scored (season)19
MantovaHellas Verona
11Goals conceded (season)13
MantovaHellas Verona
2.6Average goals per game3.2
MantovaHellas Verona
5Goals scored (last 5)9
MantovaHellas Verona
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
MantovaHellas Verona

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal100%
MantovaHellas Verona
50%2 goals50%
MantovaHellas Verona
20%3 goals20%
MantovaHellas Verona
0%4 goals10%
MantovaHellas Verona

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal70%
MantovaHellas Verona
30%2 goals40%
MantovaHellas Verona
0%3 goals20%
MantovaHellas Verona
0%4 goals0%
MantovaHellas Verona

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time30%
MantovaHellas Verona
10%BTTS in both halves10%
MantovaHellas Verona
30%Scored in both halves10%
MantovaHellas Verona

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
MantovaHellas Verona
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
MantovaHellas Verona
40%BTTS - last 560%
MantovaHellas Verona

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
MantovaHellas Verona
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
MantovaHellas Verona
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
MantovaHellas Verona

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
MantovaHellas Verona
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time70%
MantovaHellas Verona
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
MantovaHellas Verona

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mantova is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.7 pts / game - Mantova · 1.5 pts / game - Hellas Verona

Mantova - half-time state
40% leading50% draw10% trailing
Hellas Verona - half-time state
30% leading60% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.7Points per game (1st half)1.5
MantovaHellas Verona
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.8
MantovaHellas Verona
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
MantovaHellas Verona
0.8Average goals (1st half)1.2
MantovaHellas Verona
80%Clean sheet before half-time60%
MantovaHellas Verona
50%No goal before half-time50%
MantovaHellas Verona

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per game (2nd half)1.5
MantovaHellas Verona
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)1.1
MantovaHellas Verona
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
MantovaHellas Verona
1.8Average goals (2nd half)2
MantovaHellas Verona
20%Clean sheet after half-time40%
MantovaHellas Verona
40%No goal after half-time40%
MantovaHellas Verona

Mantova - second-half results

20% W50% D30% L
17
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Hellas Verona - second-half results

40% W30% D30% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mantova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.60
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Hellas Verona - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.20
Goals scored / game1.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mantova
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Hellas Verona
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
5
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
3
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mantova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Hellas Verona

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

MantovaLigaHellas Verona
Average goals per game• 2.602.65▲ 3.20
Both teams scored• 60%60%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%50%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▼ 20%22%▲ 30%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%68%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%83%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / game
1.26
Away goals / game
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Mantova and Hellas Verona play?

Mantova face Hellas Verona on November 7, 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Danilo Martelli. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Hellas Verona?

Mantova score 1.50 goals per game on average and Hellas Verona 1.90. The Serie B average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Mantova's matches and 70% of Hellas Verona's.

What form are Mantova and Hellas Verona in?

Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hellas Verona 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Hellas Verona?

The statistical background for Mantova vs Hellas Verona — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.