Italy - Serie BData current as of 17 July 2026

Mantova vs Monza: match statistics

Mantova crest
Mantova
3 : 2half-time 2:0
Monza crest
Monza

Mantova vs Monza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mantova play Monza in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

Mantova: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Monza: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mantova scores 1.18 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Monza scores 1.60 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mantova 50%, Monza 50%. Over 2.5: Mantova 53%, Monza 48%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Monza has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.55. Mantova: 14.1 shots per match, Monza: 14.1.

Match halves

Mantova: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.63. Monza: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Mantova: 76-90+ (15 goals). Monza: 76-90+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Monza are the favorites to win: they sit 3rd in the table with 22 wins this season versus Mantova’s 11th place and 12 wins. The visitors show a markedly better defence — Monza concede an average of 0.94 goals away and have 39% clean sheets, while Mantova concede 1.5 goals at home on average and have only 22% clean sheets. Offensively Mantova generate higher xG at home (1.73) and more shots (15.83) with 5.39 shots on target per match, but convert at just 9% for an average of 1.39 goals; Monza have an away xG of 1.44, 13.22 shots and 11% conversion, which also yields 1.39 goals per match. In the last 5 matches Monza have scored 8 and conceded 2 (3 wins, 2 draws, 2.2 points per game), while Mantova have scored 7 and conceded 4 (3 wins, 2 losses, 1.8 points per game). Considering Monza’s superior defence, higher number of wins this season and better points form, I predict an away victory for Monza.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
MantovaMonza
18Shots23
MantovaMonza
7Shots on target10
MantovaMonza
1.85xG2.35
MantovaMonza
0Corners7
MantovaMonza
32Dangerous attacks29
MantovaMonza
18Fouls11
MantovaMonza
3Cards2
MantovaMonza

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.18Goals scored / match1.6
MantovaMonza
1.5Goals conceded / match0.88
MantovaMonza
57%Average possession52%
MantovaMonza
4.79Shots on target / match4.83
MantovaMonza

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.08Shots per match14.1
MantovaMonza
4.79Shots on target4.83
MantovaMonza
8.4%Shot conversion11.3%
MantovaMonza
57%Possession52%
MantovaMonza
1.55xG for1.56
MantovaMonza
1.42xG against1.29
MantovaMonza

Shooting quality

Mantova: DominantMonza: Attacking
MantovaMonza
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mantova is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Mantova · 1.6 pts / match - Monza

Mantova
WLWWL
Season result split
34% W18% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-7-18
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-7
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Monza
DDWWL
Season result split
57% W26% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-11-7
1.98 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
9-7-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Monza is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - Mantova · 1.6 goals / match - Monza

Monza is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Mantova · 0.88 goals / match - Monza

Mantova scoring profile: strong

Mantova scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 40% (17 of 42 matches).

Monza scoring profile: very strong

Monza scores in 86% of matches (36 of 42 matches), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

45Goals scored (season)67
MantovaMonza
57Goals conceded (season)37
MantovaMonza
2.68Average goals in match2.48
MantovaMonza
8Goals scored (last 5)8
MantovaMonza
9Goals conceded (last 5)7
MantovaMonza

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal86%
MantovaMonza
37%2 goals55%
MantovaMonza
11%3 goals17%
MantovaMonza
3%4 goals2%
MantovaMonza

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal60%
MantovaMonza
39%2 goals21%
MantovaMonza
18%3 goals5%
MantovaMonza
8%4 goals2%
MantovaMonza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time19%
MantovaMonza
5%BTTS in both halves7%
MantovaMonza
26%Scored in both halves29%
MantovaMonza

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
MantovaMonza
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
MantovaMonza
20%BTTS - last 560%
MantovaMonza

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
MantovaMonza
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
MantovaMonza
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
MantovaMonza

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
MantovaMonza
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
MantovaMonza
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
MantovaMonza

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Monza is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / match - Mantova · 1.4 pts / match - Monza

Mantova - half-time state
29% leading34% draw37% trailing
Monza - half-time state
29% leading55% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per match (1st half)1.4
MantovaMonza
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.6
MantovaMonza
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
MantovaMonza
1.26Average goals (1st half)1
MantovaMonza
53%Clean sheet before half-time64%
MantovaMonza
58%No goal before half-time55%
MantovaMonza

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.9
MantovaMonza
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)1
MantovaMonza
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
MantovaMonza
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.48
MantovaMonza
50%Clean sheet after half-time60%
MantovaMonza
47%No goal after half-time31%
MantovaMonza

Mantova - second-half results

34% W29% R37% P
46
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Monza - second-half results

52% W33% R14% P
59
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
80
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mantova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.20
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Monza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.62.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mantova
ScoredConceded
4
13
0-15
7
6
16-30
10
8
31-45
5
11
46-60
4
8
61-75
15
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Monza
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
9
5
16-30
10
6
31-45
13
6
46-60
8
2
61-75
21
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-61%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mantova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Monza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

MantovaLigaMonza
Average goals in match 2.682.55 2.48
Both teams scored 50%53% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%48% 48%
Clean sheets 24%27% 40%
Goal before half-time 74%70% 62%
Goal after half-time 84%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mantova 0 - 0 - 1 Monza. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

SS Monza 1912
1 : 0
Mantova FC

FAQ

What was the result of Mantova vs Monza?

The Serie B match finished Mantova 3:2 Monza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Monza?

Mantova score 1.18 goals per game on average and Monza 1.60. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mantova's matches and 50% of Monza's.

What form are Mantova and Monza in?

Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Monza 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Monza?

The statistical background for Mantova vs Monza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.