Mantova vs Palermo: match statistics
Palermo is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting 4th in the table with impressive form—4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches. Mantova is in the relegation zone in 19th position, hasn't won any of their last 5 games, and shows alarmingly poor form with just 1 point. The hosts have a negative goal difference in home matches (-5), while Palermo shows solidity on the road with a 38% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3). xG statistics also favor the visitors; Mantova generates an xG of 1.97 at home but concedes an average of 1.78 goals, indicating defensive issues. Despite lower average possession (50%), Palermo features higher shot efficiency (11% conversion) and a stable defense, conceding only 1 goal on average away. Considering all factors, an away victory is the most probable outcome.
Mantova vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mantova played against Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Mantova has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Palermo has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Mantova scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.50. Palermo scores 1.56 and allows 0.72. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Mantova's games and 39% of Palermo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 39%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mantova has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.55 per game. Mantova takes 15.1 shots per game, while Palermo takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mantova leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Palermo leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.94 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mantova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Palermo, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting 4th in the table with impressive form—4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches. Mantova is in the relegation zone in 19th position, hasn't won any of their last 5 games, and shows alarmingly poor form with just 1 point. The hosts have a negative goal difference in home matches (-5), while Palermo shows solidity on the road with a 38% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3). xG statistics also favor the visitors; Mantova generates an xG of 1.97 at home but concedes an average of 1.78 goals, indicating defensive issues. Despite lower average possession (50%), Palermo features higher shot efficiency (11% conversion) and a stable defense, conceding only 1 goal on average away. Considering all factors, an away victory is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mantova | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Palermo is 1200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Mantova · 2.6 pts / game - Palermo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 88% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Mantova · 1.56 goals / game - Palermo
Palermo is 108% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Mantova · 0.72 goals / game - Palermo
Mantova scores in 56% of games (10 of 18 meczów), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 meczów).
Palermo scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mantova
Over / Under - Palermo
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Mantova · 1.67 pts / game - Palermo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mantova
Palermo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Mantova | Liga | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.33 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Mantova vs Palermo?
The Serie B match finished Mantova 1:1 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mantova vs Palermo?
Mantova score 0.83 goals per game on average and Palermo 1.56. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Mantova's matches and 39% of Palermo's.
What form are Mantova and Palermo in?
Over the last 5 games Mantova have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Palermo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mantova vs Palermo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mantova vs Palermo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.