Bulgaria - Second LeagueStadion BonchukData current as of August 31, 2026

Marek vs Nesebar: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Marek vs Nesebar: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Marek plays Nesebar in Second League (Bulgaria). The game is scheduled for September 2, 2026. Venue: Stadion Bonchuk.

Recent form

Marek has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Nesebar has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Marek scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Nesebar scores 2.17 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Marek's games and 50% of Nesebar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 50%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nesebar has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.24 per game. Marek takes 10.2 shots per game, while Nesebar takes 12.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Marek leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Nesebar leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Marek's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Nesebar, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Second League games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game2.17
MarekNesebar
1Goals allowed / game1.5
MarekNesebar
48%Average possession37%
MarekNesebar
3.33Shots on target / game5.5
MarekNesebar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.17Shots per game12.67
MarekNesebar
3.33Shots on target5.5
MarekNesebar
9.8%Shot conversion17.1%
MarekNesebar
48%Possession37%
MarekNesebar
1.24xG for1.82
MarekNesebar
1.37xG against1.44
MarekNesebar

Shooting quality

Marek: BalancedNesebar: Counter-attacking
MarekNesebar
Accuracy (shots on target)33%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nesebar is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Marek · 2 pts / game - Nesebar

Marek
LLLWD
Season result split
33% W17% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Nesebar
LWWWD
Season result split
50% W17% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.95Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nesebar is 117% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Marek · 2.17 goals / game - Nesebar

Marek is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Marek · 1.5 goals / game - Nesebar

Marek scoring profile: mixed

Marek scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 meczów), while Nesebar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).

Nesebar scoring profile: very strong

Nesebar scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 meczów), while Marek keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 meczów).

6Goals scored (season)13
MarekNesebar
6Goals conceded (season)9
MarekNesebar
2Average goals per game3.67
MarekNesebar
5Goals scored (last 5)12
MarekNesebar
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
MarekNesebar

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal100%
MarekNesebar
17%2 goals33%
MarekNesebar
17%3 goals17%
MarekNesebar
17%4 goals17%
MarekNesebar

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal50%
MarekNesebar
33%2 goals33%
MarekNesebar
0%3 goals33%
MarekNesebar
0%4 goals17%
MarekNesebar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time33%
MarekNesebar
17%BTTS in both halves0%
MarekNesebar
17%Scored in both halves17%
MarekNesebar

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
MarekNesebar
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
MarekNesebar
40%BTTS - last 540%
MarekNesebar

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
MarekNesebar
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
MarekNesebar
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
MarekNesebar

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
MarekNesebar
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
MarekNesebar
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
MarekNesebar

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nesebar is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Marek · 1.83 pts / game - Nesebar

Marek - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Nesebar - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.83
MarekNesebar
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1.17
MarekNesebar
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
MarekNesebar
0.83Average goals (1st half)1.83
MarekNesebar
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
MarekNesebar
67%No goal before half-time17%
MarekNesebar

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.17
MarekNesebar
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
MarekNesebar
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
MarekNesebar
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.83
MarekNesebar
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MarekNesebar
67%No goal after half-time67%
MarekNesebar

Marek - second-half results

17% W50% R33% P
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nesebar - second-half results

33% W17% R50% P
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Marek - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.8
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nesebar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.40
Goals scored / game1.21.2
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Marek
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Nesebar
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Marek

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Nesebar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
192%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).

Teams vs league

MarekLigaNesebar
Average goals per game 2.002.57 3.67
Both teams scored 33%46% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%43% 50%
Clean sheets 33%30% 50%
Goal before half-time 50%61% 83%
Goal after half-time 67%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+27%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Marek and Nesebar play?

Marek face Nesebar on September 2, 2026 in Second League at Stadion Bonchuk. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Marek vs Nesebar?

Marek score 1.00 goals per game on average and Nesebar 2.17. The Second League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Marek's matches and 50% of Nesebar's.

What form are Marek and Nesebar in?

Over the last 5 games Marek have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Nesebar 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marek vs Nesebar?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Marek vs Nesebar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.