Maribor vs Aluminij: match statistics
Maribor vs Aluminij: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Maribor play Aluminij in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 17:30. Venue: Ljudski vrt. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Maribor: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Aluminij: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Maribor scores 1.68 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Aluminij scores 1.24 and concedes 1.79. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Maribor 47%, Aluminij 68%. Over 2.5: Maribor 59%, Aluminij 71%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Maribor has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.29. Maribor: 13.2 shots per match, Aluminij: 9.4.
Match halves
Maribor: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.74. Aluminij: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Maribor: 31-45+ (14 goals). Aluminij: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-2-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.
Match description
I predict a Maribor win (1). Maribor at home averages 2.4 goals per game, 5.87 shots on target and 54% possession, whereas Aluminij away averages 1.25 goals, 3.19 shots on target and 46% possession. Defensively the hosts are stronger — Maribor concedes 1.13 goals at home versus Aluminij’s 1.88 away, and in xG the hosts have 1.82 per match against the visitors’ 1.24 xG. However, Maribor’s poor recent form must be considered: only 1 win in the last 5 matches, 5 goals scored and 10 conceded in that period (points per match 0.6), while Aluminij has 2 wins in the last 5 and 1.4 points per match. Considering the hosts’ qualitative advantage in attack and season balance (Maribor 54 scored/40 conceded vs Aluminij 42 scored/58 conceded) and the fact Maribor have not had a goalless home game (0% such matches) while Aluminij have 19% of away games without a goal, I favor a Maribor win, though a draw remains realistic given the hosts’ recent form.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Maribor | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Maribor is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Maribor · 0.2 pts / match - Aluminij
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Maribor is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - Maribor · 1.24 goals / match - Aluminij
Maribor is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Maribor · 1.79 goals / match - Aluminij
Maribor scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
Aluminij scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Maribor keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Maribor
Over / Under — Aluminij
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Maribor is 107% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - Maribor · 0.91 pts / match - Aluminij
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Maribor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 44%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aluminij - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Maribor
Aluminij
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Maribor | Liga | Aluminij | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.94 | 3.09 | • 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 23% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 86% | ▼ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Maribor 1 - 2 - 1 Aluminij. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Maribor vs Aluminij?
The PrvaLiga match finished Maribor 3:0 Aluminij. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Maribor and Aluminij?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Maribor won 1, Aluminij won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Maribor vs Aluminij?
Maribor score 1.68 goals per game on average and Aluminij 1.24. The PrvaLiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Maribor's matches and 68% of Aluminij's.
What form are Maribor and Aluminij in?
Over the last 5 games Maribor have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Aluminij 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Maribor vs Aluminij?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.