Mariehamn vs Ilves: match statistics
Mariehamn vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mariehamn play Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Mariehamn: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Ilves: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mariehamn scores 0.50 and concedes 2.19 goals per match. Ilves scores 1.75 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mariehamn 38%, Ilves 69%. Over 2.5: Mariehamn 50%, Ilves 75%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Ilves has higher xG: 1.44 vs 0.95. Mariehamn: 7.3 shots per match, Ilves: 11.8.
Match halves
Mariehamn: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.31. Ilves: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Mariehamn: 31-45+ (3 goals). Ilves: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back a home win (Mariehamn): in the last 5 matches they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, averaging 1.6 points per game, while Ilves over the same period have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses with 0.8 points per game. Mariehamn controls play at home with 49% possession, averaging 7 shots per game and 1 on target with xG 0.78, whereas Ilves away record shows only 36% possession, 5 shots and 2 on target with xG 0.64. Defensively the hosts concede 1.0 goal per home game on average (xG against 1.84), while Ilves concede 2.0 goals away (xG against 1.18), indicating greater vulnerability of the visitors to concede. The visitors are, however, more efficient in shot conversion — 20% versus Mariehamn’s 14% — so with fewer attempts they can still create real threat. Overall, the higher average points (1.6 vs 0.8), superior possession metrics (49% vs 36%) and lower average goals conceded at home (1.0 vs 2.0) lead me to favor a Mariehamn win, although a draw remains a plausible outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mariehamn | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilves is 250% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1.75 goals / match - Ilves
Ilves is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.19 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1.88 goals / match - Ilves
Mariehamn scores in 38% of matches (6 of 16 matches), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Ilves scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mariehamn
Over / Under — Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 176% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Mariehamn · 1.38 pts / match - Ilves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mariehamn
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Mariehamn | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.69 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 51% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mariehamn 1 - 0 - 1 Ilves. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mariehamn vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Mariehamn 2:2 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariehamn and Ilves?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 1, Ilves won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Mariehamn score 0.50 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.75. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Mariehamn's matches and 69% of Ilves's.
What form are Mariehamn and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Ilves 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs Ilves?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mariehamn vs Ilves: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.