Mariehamn vs Lahti: match statistics
Mariehamn vs Lahti: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mariehamn played against Lahti in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on July 20, 2026. Venue: Wiklöf Holding Arena. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Mariehamn has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Lahti has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Mariehamn scores 0.53 goals per game and allows 2.20. Lahti scores 1.20 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.67 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Mariehamn's games and 47% of Lahti's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 33%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lahti has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 0.96 per game. Mariehamn takes 7.5 shots per game, while Lahti takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Mariehamn leads at halftime in 7% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Lahti leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mariehamn's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Lahti, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.67 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lahti is the favorite based on the numbers: the visitors have a season record of 18 goals scored and 15 conceded, while Mariehamn has only 8 scored and as many as 33 conceded. Form and recent results favor the visitors — Mariehamn have lost all 5 of their last matches, conceding 16 goals in that span, whereas Lahti in their last 5 matches have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss and have averaged 1.6 points per game. Defensively, Mariehamn at home concede an average of 2.00 goals per game with xG against 2.31, while Lahti away concede 1.17 goals with xG against 1.51, which indicates clearer resilience from the visitors. Lahti also create better chances — on average 11 shots and 3.5 on target away compared to 8.14 shots and 3 on target for the hosts, and xG for 1.23 versus Mariehamn's 1.04. Additionally, the hosts have 0 home wins and in 57% of home matches failed to score, while Lahti failed to score in only 33% of away matches; therefore I forecast a victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Most indicators point against BTTS: in the last 5 matches Mariehamn conceded on average 3.2 goals (16 total) and scored only 0.6 goals per game (3 goals in 5), while Lahti in the last 5 concedes on average 0.4 goals (2 total) and is in form 'lddww'. Season BTTS is 44% for Mariehamn and 50% for Lahti (avg ~47%), and the league shows 52% BTTS, but the last 5 matches for these teams yield 40% and 20% (avg 30%), weakening the BTTS signal. The home side's weaker form is confirmed by xG: Mariehamn season attacking xG is 1.47 with a goals average of 1.56, but in the last 5 matches attacking xG dropped to 1.01 and they actually scored 0.6 goals; Lahti recently has xG against 1.27 and actually concedes 0.4 goals per game. Therefore the most likely scenario is No BTTS (e.g. 1-0 or 0-1), so I recommend "No" (65%) vs 35% for "Yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG and defensive quality: the home xG is 1.47 and Lahti’s defense concedes 1.51 xG away on average, yielding an expected 1.49 goals for Mariehamn; conversely Lahti’s xG is 1.23 against the home defense conceding 1.06, giving an expected 1.15 goals for the visitors, totaling 2.64 goals. With this 2.64 sum, a Poisson distribution gives roughly a 74% chance of at least 2 goals (hence Over 1.5), while the estimated probability of exceeding 2.5 is about 49%, so Over 1.5 is the most reliable signal. Additionally, Mariehamn have 78% of home matches over 1.5 compared to Lahti’s 50% away, and in the last 5 matches the home side conceded on average 3.2 goals per game (16 goals conceded), which increases the risk of more goals. Against this speaks the season Over 2.5 rate of only 33% for both teams and Over 3.5 rates of 22%/0%, so Over 2.5 and 3.5 are less secure (estimated 49% and 27% respectively); furthermore a shot conversion difference of 12% vs 6% indicates Mariehamn pose the greater threat, but does not guarantee a high-scoring game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mariehamn led at half-time in 4 of 9 home matches (44%) and in the first half they score on average 1.0 goal and concede only 0.22, while Lahti away score on average 0.33 goals by half-time and concede 0.67. Over the season Mariehamn win 44% of home matches and average 1.56 goals per game, whereas Lahti away have only 17% wins and 0.67 goals per game; additionally the hosts’ xG is 1.47 versus the visitors’ 1.23, and shooting efficiency is 12% vs 6%. This suggests a home advantage in the first half and overall — HT statistics (44% leads vs 56% draws at half for the hosts) and FT (44% home wins vs 17% away wins for Lahti) favor Mariehamn. The strongest signal is a home lead at the break and a win after 90 minutes, so I assign the 1/1 scenario the highest probability (32%), with a strong alternative of draw at half and home win (X/1 28%). However, one must account for the hosts’ poor form in the last 5 matches (form_l5_home = 'lllll', in which they conceded on average 3.2 goals), which slightly increases the chances of turnarounds (e.g. X/2 8% or 2/2 8%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mariehamn | Lahti | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lahti is 126% better for: goals scored per game.
0.53 goals / game - Mariehamn · 1.2 goals / game - Lahti
Lahti is 120% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.2 goals / game - Mariehamn · 1 goals / game - Lahti
Mariehamn scores in 40% of games (6 of 15 meczów), while Lahti keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 meczów).
Lahti scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mariehamn
Over / Under - Lahti
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lahti is 177% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.53 pts / game - Mariehamn · 1.47 pts / game - Lahti
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 7% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lahti - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mariehamn
Lahti
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Mariehamn | Liga | Lahti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.73 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Mariehamn's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Lahti. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mariehamn vs Lahti?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Mariehamn 0:2 Lahti. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs Lahti?
Mariehamn score 0.53 goals per game on average and Lahti 1.20. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Mariehamn's matches and 47% of Lahti's.
What form are Mariehamn and Lahti in?
Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Lahti 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs Lahti?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.