Finland - VeikkausliigaData current as of 22 July 2026

Mariehamn vs TPS: match statistics

Mariehamn crest
Mariehamn
1 : 1half-time 1:0
TPS crest
TPS

Mariehamn vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mariehamn play TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Mariehamn: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. TPS: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mariehamn scores 0.50 and concedes 2.19 goals per match. TPS scores 1.25 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mariehamn 38%, TPS 56%. Over 2.5: Mariehamn 50%, TPS 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

TPS has higher xG: 1.45 vs 0.95. Mariehamn: 7.3 shots per match, TPS: 11.7.

Match halves

Mariehamn: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.31. TPS: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Mariehamn: 31-45+ (3 goals). TPS: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Match description

Mariehamn holds a clear statistical edge; based on this analysis I back a home win. The hosts scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches (1.6 per game) and conceded 4 (0.8 per game), while TPS managed only 3 goals in that span (0.6 per game) and conceded as many as 14 (2.8 per game). In the last 5 fixtures Mariehamn recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 points per game), whereas TPS has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses (0.2 points per game), underlining a clear form gap. Goal difference over those five matches is +4 for Mariehamn versus -11 for TPS, indicating both superior attacking efficiency from the hosts and greater defensive stability. Considering these figures and league positions (8 vs 11), I estimate the probabilities as: home win 70%, draw 18%, away win 12%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
MariehamnTPS
7Shots17
MariehamnTPS
1Shots on target4
MariehamnTPS
0.78xG1.84
MariehamnTPS
0Corners10
MariehamnTPS
36Dangerous attacks68
MariehamnTPS
13Fouls12
MariehamnTPS
2Cards2
MariehamnTPS

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.5Goals scored / match1.25
MariehamnTPS
2.19Goals conceded / match1.19
MariehamnTPS
46%Average possession47%
MariehamnTPS
2.5Shots on target / match4.38
MariehamnTPS

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.31Shots per match11.69
MariehamnTPS
2.5Shots on target4.38
MariehamnTPS
6.8%Shot conversion10.7%
MariehamnTPS
46%Possession47%
MariehamnTPS
0.95xG for1.45
MariehamnTPS
2.21xG against1.59
MariehamnTPS

Shooting quality

Mariehamn: BalancedTPS: Balanced
MariehamnTPS
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mariehamn
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W25% R75% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-4-12
0.25 pts / match · goal difference -27
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-5
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 2.37BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
TPS
DWLWL
Season result split
38% W25% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-6
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

TPS is 150% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1.25 goals / match - TPS

TPS is 84% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.19 goals / match - Mariehamn · 1.19 goals / match - TPS

Mariehamn scoring profile: mixed

Mariehamn scores in 38% of matches (6 of 16 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

TPS scoring profile: very strong

TPS scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 16 matches).

8Goals scored (season)20
MariehamnTPS
35Goals conceded (season)19
MariehamnTPS
2.69Average goals in match2.44
MariehamnTPS
2Goals scored (last 5)8
MariehamnTPS
16Goals conceded (last 5)8
MariehamnTPS

How often they score at least...

38%1 goal81%
MariehamnTPS
13%2 goals31%
MariehamnTPS
0%3 goals13%
MariehamnTPS
0%4 goals0%
MariehamnTPS

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal69%
MariehamnTPS
63%2 goals38%
MariehamnTPS
38%3 goals13%
MariehamnTPS
19%4 goals0%
MariehamnTPS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
MariehamnTPS
6%BTTS in both halves6%
MariehamnTPS
6%Scored in both halves25%
MariehamnTPS

BTTS and goal count

19%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
MariehamnTPS
31%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
MariehamnTPS
20%BTTS - last 560%
MariehamnTPS

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
MariehamnTPS
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
MariehamnTPS
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
MariehamnTPS

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
MariehamnTPS
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
MariehamnTPS
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
MariehamnTPS

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

TPS is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.5 pts / match - Mariehamn · 1 pts / match - TPS

Mariehamn - half-time state
6% leading31% draw63% trailing
TPS - half-time state
19% leading44% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per match (1st half)1
MariehamnTPS
0.19Goals scored (1st half)0.56
MariehamnTPS
0.94Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
MariehamnTPS
1.13Average goals (1st half)1.19
MariehamnTPS
25%Clean sheet before half-time56%
MariehamnTPS
81%No goal before half-time56%
MariehamnTPS

After half-time (2nd half)

0.38Points per match (2nd half)1.38
MariehamnTPS
0.31Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
MariehamnTPS
1.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
MariehamnTPS
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.25
MariehamnTPS
19%Clean sheet after half-time50%
MariehamnTPS
75%No goal after half-time38%
MariehamnTPS

Mariehamn - second-half results

6% W19% R75% P
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

TPS - second-half results

31% W44% R25% P
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mariehamn - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.000.00
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.22.0
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-6-8
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
TPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mariehamn
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
0
7
16-30
3
4
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
6
61-75
1
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.

TPS
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
7
31-45
5
2
46-60
0
5
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mariehamn

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
33%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
190%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

TPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

MariehamnLigaTPS
Average goals in match 2.692.67 2.44
Both teams scored 38%51% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%47% 50%
Clean sheets 0%28% 31%
Goal before half-time 81%75% 63%
Goal after half-time 88%78% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Mariehamn vs TPS?

The Veikkausliiga match finished Mariehamn 1:1 TPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs TPS?

Mariehamn score 0.50 goals per game on average and TPS 1.25. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Mariehamn's matches and 56% of TPS's.

What form are Mariehamn and TPS in?

Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and TPS 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs TPS?

The statistical background for Mariehamn vs TPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.