Mariehamn vs VPS: match statistics
Mariehamn vs VPS: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mariehamn played against VPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Mariehamn has 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.50 points per game. VPS has 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.25 points per game.
Scoring records
Mariehamn scores 0.75 goals per game and allows 1.75. VPS scores 0.75 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.41 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Mariehamn's games and 25% of VPS's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 25%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
VPS has the higher season xG average, 1.19 to 0.93 per game. Mariehamn takes 7.5 shots per game, while VPS takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Mariehamn leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.25 goals per game after halftime. VPS leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mariehamn's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For VPS, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.41 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The hosts have a clear advantage in the quality and volume of chances: they average 11.5 shots and 4.5 on target per home match, while VPS averages 5 shots and 1 on target away. Mariehamn scores 1.5 goals at home on average and has 0% FTS (always score), whereas VPS averages 0 goals away and 100% FTS, which strongly indicates the visitors’ finishing issues on the road. In xG terms the hosts have 1.33 xG at home versus 0.7 xG for VPS away; concurrently Mariehamn’s xG against is 1.66 and VPS’s xG against is 1.45, so the hosts create more chances while also exposing themselves slightly at the back. VPS, however, shows better recent form overall (PPG 2.0 in the last 5 matches vs 1.4 for Mariehamn) and defends effectively away (conceding 0.5 goals on average and 50% clean sheets), so an upset is possible. Considering Mariehamn’s superiority in shot volume, accuracy and xG and VPS’s complete lack of offensive output away, I tip 1; probability split: 60% home win, 25% draw, 15% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS - Yes with probability 70% vs 30%. The strongest signal is VPS form: 23 goals scored in the last 5 matches (avg. 4.6 goals/match) and 5-match xG of 1.71, while Mariehamn conceded on average 1.4 goals in the same period and has xG against 1.72, indicating the visitors have realistic chances to score. Season-long data are mixed – season BTTS for Mariehamn is 50% and for VPS 0%, and the season xG for the away side is only 0.7, but the short-term scoring advantage of VPS (23 goals vs 9 goals for Mariehamn in the last 5) outweighs that signal. Additionally, the league average BTTS is 54%, which, combined with 7 goals conceded by the hosts in their last five matches, points toward a both teams to score scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected xG as the average of the home attack and the opponent’s defense: (1.69 + 1.45)/2 = 1.57 xG for Mariehamn and (0.70 + 1.66)/2 = 1.18 xG for VPS, totaling 2.75. This 2.75 exceeds the league average of 2.42 by 0.33, increasing the probability of Over 2.5 goals. Mariehamn averages 15 shots and 5 on target with a 10% conversion (translating to ~1.5 goals), while VPS, despite a seasonal goals average of 0.0, has been very prolific in the last 5 matches — 23 goals (4.6 per game). Both teams concede high xG against: Mariehamn 1.66 and VPS 1.45, indicating weaker defensive coverage and more goal-scoring opportunities. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 2.5 (I propose Over 2.5: 68% vs 32%), while Over 1.5 is even more likely (84%) and Over 3.5 remains moderate (42%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mariehamn has a clear advantage in the first half: they lead at the break in 50% of matches (1 out of 2), score an average of 1.5 goals by half-time and have a total of 3 HT goals, while VPS has an average of 0.0 goals by half-time and 0 HT goals. Full-match statistics also favor the hosts: the hosts’ xG is 1.69 versus 0.70 for VPS, average shots 15 versus 5 and shots on target 5 versus 1, indicating substantially more chances for Mariehamn. The visitors have a season average of 0.0 goals scored and a conversion rate of 0.0%, with an average of 0.5 goals conceded, so the likelihood of VPS breaking their scoring drought is low. Considering the hosts’ 50% leads at the break, higher xG and shot numbers, and Mariehamn’s season points form (2.0 points per game versus 0.5 for VPS), the strongest signal is Mariehamn to lead at half-time and win the match (1/1), which I assess at 52%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mariehamn | VPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
VPS is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.5 pts / game - Mariehamn · 1.25 pts / game - VPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
VPS is 133% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - Mariehamn · 0.75 goals / game - VPS
Mariehamn scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).
VPS scores in 25% of games (1 of 4 meczów), while Mariehamn keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mariehamn
Over / Under - VPS
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
VPS is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Mariehamn · 1.5 pts / game - VPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mariehamn - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
VPS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 25% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mariehamn
VPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Mariehamn | Liga | VPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.50 | 2.41 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Mariehamn's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against VPS. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mariehamn vs VPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Mariehamn 0:1 VPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariehamn and VPS?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Mariehamn won 1, VPS won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mariehamn vs VPS?
Mariehamn score 0.75 goals per game on average and VPS 0.75. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mariehamn's matches and 25% of VPS's.
What form are Mariehamn and VPS in?
Over the last 5 games Mariehamn have a 0-2-2 record (0.50 points per game) and VPS 1-2-1 (1.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mariehamn vs VPS?
The statistical background for Mariehamn vs VPS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.