Marines vs Bugesera: match statistics
Marines vs Bugesera: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Marines played against Bugesera in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on November 30, 2025. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Marines has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Bugesera has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Marines scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 0.75. Bugesera scores 0.67 and allows 0.78. Games in this league average 1.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Marines's games and 33% of Bugesera's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 22%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 23% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Marines has the higher season xG average, 1.09 to 0.88 per game. Marines takes 7.0 shots per game, while Bugesera takes 4.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Marines leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Bugesera leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Marines's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Bugesera, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 1.77 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 23% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Stats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Marines | Bugesera | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Marines is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Marines · 0.8 pts / game - Bugesera
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marines is 69% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Marines · 0.67 goals / game - Bugesera
Marines scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 meczów).
Bugesera scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 meczów), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marines
Over / Under - Bugesera
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / game - Marines · 0.89 pts / game - Bugesera
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marines - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bugesera - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Marines
Bugesera
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Marines | Liga | Bugesera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 1.88 | 1.77 | ▼ 1.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 25% | 23% | • 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MarinesGoalTaïba Mbonyumwami
FAQ
What was the result of Marines vs Bugesera?
The National Soccer League match finished Marines 2:1 Bugesera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marines vs Bugesera?
Marines score 1.13 goals per game on average and Bugesera 0.67. The National Soccer League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Marines's matches and 33% of Bugesera's.
What form are Marines and Bugesera in?
Over the last 5 games Marines have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bugesera 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marines vs Bugesera?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


