Marines vs Bugesera: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Marines played against Bugesera in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on November 30, 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Marines has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Bugesera has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Marines scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 0.75. Bugesera scores 0.67 and allows 0.78. Games in this league average 1.77 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 25% of Marines's games and 33% of Bugesera's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 22%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 23% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Marines has the higher season xG average, 1.09 to 0.88 per game. Marines takes 7.0 shots per game, while Bugesera takes 4.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Marines leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Bugesera leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.44 after halftime.

When the teams score

Marines's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Bugesera, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

National Soccer League games average 1.77 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 23% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
MarinesBugesera
9Shots5
MarinesBugesera
5Shots on target4
MarinesBugesera
1.34xG0.94
MarinesBugesera
5Corners3
MarinesBugesera
57Dangerous attacks46
MarinesBugesera
19Fouls17
MarinesBugesera
0Cards0
MarinesBugesera

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.13Goals scored / game0.67
MarinesBugesera
0.75Goals allowed / game0.78
MarinesBugesera
49%Average possession40%
MarinesBugesera
2.5Shots on target / game1.33
MarinesBugesera

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7Shots per game4.33
MarinesBugesera
2.5Shots on target1.33
MarinesBugesera
16.1%Shot conversion15.4%
MarinesBugesera
49%Possession40%
MarinesBugesera
1.09xG for0.88
MarinesBugesera
1.07xG against0.96
MarinesBugesera

Shooting quality

Marines: Efficient finishingBugesera: Counter-attacking
MarinesBugesera
Accuracy (shots on target)36%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Marines is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Marines · 0.8 pts / game - Bugesera

Marines
LLWWL
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-4
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 at home
2-0-2
WLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Bugesera
LLDLW
Season result split
22% W44% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-3
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 away
0-3-1
DDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.81Opponent xG: 0.88BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Marines is 69% better for: goals scored per game.

1.13 goals / game - Marines · 0.67 goals / game - Bugesera

Marines scoring profile: mixed

Marines scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 meczów), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 meczów).

Bugesera scoring profile: mixed

Bugesera scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 meczów), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 meczów).

9Goals scored (season)6
MarinesBugesera
6Goals conceded (season)7
MarinesBugesera
1.88Average goals per game1.44
MarinesBugesera
5Goals scored (last 5)4
MarinesBugesera
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
MarinesBugesera

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal56%
MarinesBugesera
38%2 goals11%
MarinesBugesera
0%3 goals0%
MarinesBugesera
0%4 goals0%
MarinesBugesera

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal44%
MarinesBugesera
25%2 goals22%
MarinesBugesera
0%3 goals11%
MarinesBugesera
0%4 goals0%
MarinesBugesera

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time11%
MarinesBugesera
0%BTTS in both halves0%
MarinesBugesera
13%Scored in both halves11%
MarinesBugesera

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS22%
MarinesBugesera
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MarinesBugesera
40%BTTS - last 540%
MarinesBugesera

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time44%
MarinesBugesera
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
MarinesBugesera
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
MarinesBugesera

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time44%
MarinesBugesera
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time11%
MarinesBugesera
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
MarinesBugesera

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Marines is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / game - Marines · 0.89 pts / game - Bugesera

Marines - half-time state
38% leading50% draw13% trailing
Bugesera - half-time state
11% leading56% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per game (1st half)0.89
MarinesBugesera
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.22
MarinesBugesera
0.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
MarinesBugesera
0.5Average goals (1st half)0.89
MarinesBugesera
88%Clean sheet before half-time67%
MarinesBugesera
63%No goal before half-time78%
MarinesBugesera

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per game (2nd half)1.67
MarinesBugesera
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
MarinesBugesera
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.11
MarinesBugesera
1.38Average goals (2nd half)0.56
MarinesBugesera
50%Clean sheet after half-time89%
MarinesBugesera
50%No goal after half-time56%
MarinesBugesera

Marines - second-half results

38% W25% R38% P
13
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bugesera - second-half results

33% W67% R0% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.6

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Marines - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.00
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game0.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Bugesera - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.402.20
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game1.20.0
Average goals per game1.40.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-5+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Marines
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.67
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
29%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Marines

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
56% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
56%

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

MarinesLigaBugesera
Average goals per game 1.881.77 1.44
Both teams scored 25%37% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%23% 22%
Clean sheets 50%40% 56%
Goal before half-time 50%52% 44%
Goal after half-time 88%66% 44%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.77
Average goals per game
37%
Both teams scored
23%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.85
Home goals / game
0.92
Away goals / game
+-8%
Home attack advantage
+-8%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
1%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

Taïba Mbonyumwami⚽ 1

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MarinesGoalTaïba Mbonyumwami

FAQ

What was the result of Marines vs Bugesera?

The National Soccer League match finished Marines 2:1 Bugesera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Marines vs Bugesera?

Marines score 1.13 goals per game on average and Bugesera 0.67. The National Soccer League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Marines's matches and 33% of Bugesera's.

What form are Marines and Bugesera in?

Over the last 5 games Marines have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Bugesera 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marines vs Bugesera?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.