Marines vs Gasogi United: match statistics
Marines vs Gasogi United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marines play Gasogi United in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Marines: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Gasogi United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marines scores 1.38 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Gasogi United scores 0.85 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marines 59%, Gasogi United 41%. Over 2.5: Marines 44%, Gasogi United 35%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Marines has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.12. Marines: 6.9 shots per match, Gasogi United: 5.9.
Match halves
Marines: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.53. Gasogi United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Marines: 31-45+ (16 goals). Gasogi United: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1). Marines hold an offensive advantage: 34 goals this season vs 19 for Gasogi, and at home they average 1.31 goals per game compared to 0.79 for the visitors away. The hosts create more chances — 6.82 shots per game at home vs 4.67 for Gasogi on the road — and have a higher xG (0.99 vs 0.85), despite the visitors posting a higher shot efficiency (20% vs 16%). Defensively they are comparable (Marines concede 0.92 goals at home, Gasogi 0.86 away), but Gasogi fail to score in 50% of their away matches, whereas Marines are scoreless in only 15% of home games. In the last 5 matches both teams average 1 point per game (PPG=1), but Marines have scored 5 goals in their last five vs 2 for Gasogi, giving the hosts the edge in offensive form. Considering a 46% home win rate for Marines versus a 29% away win rate for Gasogi, plus the advantage in chance creation and xG, I assign higher probabilities to the hosts, although a draw remains possible given Gasogi’s 43% draw rate on the road.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marines | Gasogi United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marines is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Marines · 0.8 pts / match - Gasogi United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marines is 62% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Marines · 0.85 goals / match - Gasogi United
Marines scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Gasogi United keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Gasogi United scores in 53% of matches (18 of 34 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Marines
Over / Under — Gasogi United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Marines · 1.18 pts / match - Gasogi United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marines - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gasogi United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marines
Gasogi United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Marines | Liga | Gasogi United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.65 | 2.12 | • 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 46% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Marines 1 - 0 - 0 Gasogi United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Marines vs Gasogi United?
The National Soccer League match finished Marines 2:2 Gasogi United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marines vs Gasogi United?
Marines score 1.38 goals per game on average and Gasogi United 0.85. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Marines's matches and 41% of Gasogi United's.
What form are Marines and Gasogi United in?
Over the last 5 games Marines have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Gasogi United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marines vs Gasogi United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.